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Hamburger SV W vs Mainz 05 W Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 13-11-2026
Nov 1317:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Hamburger SV W 3-0 Mainz 05 W
Hamburger SV WDrawMainz 05 W
Over 2.5 goalsYes (75%)
Hamburger SV Women host Mainz 05 Women at Volksparkstadion in Frauen Bundesliga Round 10, a fixture that pits a mid-table side against the division's basement dwellers. Hamburg sit 13th with 6 points from nine matches; Mainz occupy 14th with zero points from an identical number of games. The gulf in recent performance is stark, and the betting market reflects a heavily skewed outlook.
Team form
Hamburger SV W
Hamburg's record reads mixed but functional. They drew 4-4 at home to Union Berlin on 25 October, a result that masked defensive fragility, then lost 0-2 away at Bayer Leverkusen last weekend. Over their last five matches they have scored 8 and conceded 12, averaging 1.6 goals for and 2.4 against. Their season average stands at 1.56 scored and 1.89 conceded per game. In their last outing they managed 44% possession and 5 shots on goal, though only 1.25 expected goals suggests limited quality in chance creation. Coach Liése Brancão's 4-2-3-1 setup has not yet stabilised the backline, but the midfield three of Stoldt, Machtens and Linberg offers some creative platform.
Mainz 05 W
Mainz's plight is severe. They have won once in nine league games—that sole victory coming in the DFB Pokal against Ingolstadt—and have conceded 30 goals in the Bundesliga alone. Their last five matches yield 8 goals for and 17 against, a ratio of 1.6 and 3.4 per game. Most recently they lost 1-3 at home to Stuttgart. The 5-3-2 formation deployed against Stuttgart produced 49% possession and 4 shots on goal but only 1.11 expected goals, indicating both defensive and creative deficiencies. N. Anstatt, rated 7.48, is their sole bright spot in the forward line and accounts for their only Bundesliga goal this season. Goalkeeper Marisa Schon and the back five have been routinely overwhelmed.
Head-to-head
No head-to-head record exists between these sides in the available data.
Key factors
Hamburg's home advantage at Volksparkstadion is material; they drew 4-4 there against Union Berlin, suggesting the ground suits attacking football. Mainz's defensive record—3.33 goals conceded per game this season—is a critical weakness that Hamburg's front line, led by M. Brunnthaler, should exploit. Mainz's inability to score (0.56 per game) makes them unlikely to threaten Hamburg's goal sufficiently to earn a point. The midfield battle will likely favour Hamburg's experience; Machtens (6.59 rating) and Linberg (6.39) should control possession. Mainz's reliance on Anstatt in attack is a single-thread vulnerability. Hamburg's recent form, while inconsistent, shows they can create chances; Mainz's leaky defence invites them to do so.
Prediction
Hamburg are strong favourites. They hold a 6-point advantage over Mainz in the table and have demonstrated far superior defensive and attacking capability across the season. Mainz have not won a Bundesliga match and concede heavily; Hamburg, despite their own defensive issues, are a tier above. The model expects Hamburg to dominate possession and create a significant goal advantage. A comfortable home victory is the clear outcome.
Hamburg should win decisively. Back the home side with confidence in fantasy league contests; Brunnthaler and the midfield trio offer reliable fantasy points in a match where Hamburg will control play. Mainz offer minimal upside and should be avoided in your lineups.
Match info
Tournaments:
Frauen Bundesliga(Regular Season - 10)
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Wolfgang-Meyer-Sportanlage, Hamburg-Stellingen
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Hamburger SV W
L
L
D
L
L
Mainz 05 W
L
L
L
L
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern Munich W | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 27 |
| 2 |  VfL Wolfsburg W | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 24 |
| 3 |  Eintracht Frankfurt W | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 4 |  Werder Bremen W | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 |  Bayer Leverkusen W | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 |  FC Koln W | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 |  Union Berlin W | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Stuttgart W | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 |  RB Leipzig W | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 |  1899 Hoffenheim W | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
| 11 |  SC Freiburg W | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
| 12 |  Nürnberg W | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV W | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 14 |  Mainz 05 W | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
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Hamburger SV W vs Mainz 05 W - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Hamburger SV W vs Mainz 05 W football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.