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Leganes vs Burgos Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 13-11-2026
Nov 1319:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Leganes 1-1 Burgos
LeganesDrawBurgos
Leganes host Burgos in Segunda División Round 14 at the Estadio Municipal de Butarque. The hosts sit 18th with 12 points from 13 games, while Burgos occupy third place on 24 points. This is a clash between a struggling side fighting to climb out of the bottom half and a promotion contender looking to maintain their push toward the top.
Team form
Leganes
Leganes are in serious trouble. They have won just once in their last five matches—a 3-2 victory over Granada CF on 20 September—but have since lost four straight. In that run they shipped 12 goals across five games, conceding 2.4 per outing. Their defensive frailty is the core problem: they average 1.77 goals conceded per game across the season, the worst record in this matchup. Offensively they are blunt too, managing only 0.85 goals per game. The 0-0 draw with Castellón on 28 September masks a pattern of heavy defeats to Almeria (0-3) and Cadiz (0-4).
Burgos
Burgos are thriving. They have won three of their last five, including a 1-0 home victory over Sabadell most recently. They conceded just four goals across those five games—0.8 per match—and scored five. Their season average of 1.46 goals per game and 1.08 conceded shows a well-balanced unit. The only blemish in recent weeks was a 0-1 home loss to Granada CF, but they bounced back with a win. Burgos control matches: they held 63% possession in their last outing and created 2.22 expected goals.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record favours Burgos. In five previous meetings, Burgos have won twice, Leganes once, and two have ended in draws. Most tellingly, Burgos won 2-1 away at Leganes in November 2025 and triumphed 4-0 at home in January 2022. Leganes' sole win came in January 2024 (2-0 at home). Burgos have the psychological edge and the recent pedigree in this fixture.
Key factors
Leganes' leaky defence is the decisive factor. Burgos' attacking threat—led by a midfield that generated 7 shots on goal in their last match—should find space against a backline conceding nearly 1.8 per game. Leganes' 42% possession and 0.82 expected goals in their last outing show they struggle to create; Burgos' control and efficiency in possession will likely dictate play. The visitors' defensive solidity (1.08 conceded per game) should contain Leganes' limited attacking output. Leganes' only hope lies in a rare defensive display and clinical finishing on the counter, but recent form offers little encouragement.
Prediction
Burgos' superior league position, recent form, and defensive record make them the natural pick here. They have won two of the last three head-to-head meetings and control possession with purpose. Leganes are in freefall, having lost four of their last five and conceded 12 goals in that span. The gap in quality is clear: Burgos average 1.46 goals scored to Leganes' 0.85, and concede 1.08 to Leganes' 1.77. However, this is Segunda División—a competitive league where nothing is certain. Leganes will fight at home, and Burgos' recent record shows they can be vulnerable (losing to Granada CF just days ago). The match is too close to separate entirely, but Burgos edge the lean.
This match is too close to call with certainty, but Burgos are the lean. The visitors' form, defensive discipline, and head-to-head advantage outweigh Leganes' home-ground benefit. Expect a tight contest where Burgos' control and efficiency prove decisive, though Leganes' desperation could produce an upset. The goals market is finely balanced—both sides can score, but neither is prolific enough to guarantee a high-scoring affair.
Match info
Tournaments:
Segunda División(Regular Season - 14)
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganes
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Leganes
L
L
D
L
L
Burgos
W
D
W
W
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 29 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 27 |
| 3 |  Burgos | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 24 |
| 4 |  Eibar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 |
| 5 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 |
| 8 |  Girona | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 |
| 10 |  Las Palmas | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 20 |
| 11 |  Cordoba | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 19 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 |
| 17 |  Real Sociedad II | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 |
| 18 |  Leganes | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 |
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Leganes vs Burgos - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Leganes vs Burgos football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.