Not Started
Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 14-11-2026
Nov 1423:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Chapecoense-sc 1-2 Vasco DA Gama
Chapecoense-scDrawVasco DA Gama
Over 2.5 goalsYes (72%)
Both teams to scoreYes (69%)
Chapecoense-sc hosts Vasco DA Gama at Arena Condá in Serie A's 21st round. The hosts sit bottom of the table with 21 points from 33 matches, while Vasco occupy 13th with 41 points. This is a clash between a struggling side fighting relegation and a mid-table outfit with momentum on their side.
Team form
Chapecoense-sc
Chapecoense's recent record makes for grim reading. Over their last five matches, they have won none, drawn twice and lost three times, scoring just 1 goal while conceding 9. The 0-2 defeat at Bahia on 17 July typified their problems: 35% possession, only 2 shots on goal, and an xG of 0.41. Under Lacerda Rafael's 4-2-3-1 setup, they lack penetration and defensive solidity. A season average of 1.00 goals scored per game and 2.06 conceded per game tells you everything about their predicament. They are leaking chances and cannot finish when it matters.
Vasco DA Gama
Vasco have shown more resilience. In their last five outings, they won twice, drew twice and lost once, scoring 10 goals and conceding 9. The 2-1 victory over Gremio and the 3-2 win against Fluminense demonstrate their ability to score in open play. Their season average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.52 conceded per game is markedly superior to Chapecoense's. When they faced Botafogo on 5 April, they managed 63% possession, 5 shots on goal and an xG of 2.41—the kind of attacking output that wins matches. Pedro Emanuel's side know how to control a game.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record between these sides over five meetings shows Chapecoense with a slight edge: two wins at home, two draws and one away loss to Vasco. However, that 2019 defeat came away from home, and the most recent encounter in 2022 ended goalless. Historical form counts for little when one team is in freefall and the other is climbing. Vasco's current superiority in the league standings and recent form outweighs what happened years ago.
Key factors
Chapecoense's defensive fragility is the critical weakness. Conceding 2.06 per game is catastrophic at this level. Vasco's attacking players—particularly their midfield orchestration through Thiago Mendes and the movement of David up front—will exploit that vulnerability. Chapecoense's 35% possession rate in their last outing suggests they will be chasing the ball for much of this match. Vasco's ability to retain possession and create chances, demonstrated by their 63% possession average, should allow them to dictate play. The hosts' only realistic path to a result is a disciplined defensive shape and quick transitions, but their recent form offers no evidence they can execute that plan.
Prediction
Vasco are the favourite here. They possess superior league position, better recent form, and a demonstrable ability to control matches and score goals. Chapecoense are in crisis—bottom of the table, leaking goals and starved of attacking threat. The gap in quality and current trajectory is substantial. Vasco should create the clearer chances and have the composure to convert them. While Chapecoense may score—both sides have shown they can find the net—Vasco's attacking edge and Chapecoense's defensive deficiencies point to a visiting victory.
Vasco DA Gama to win. The visitors are the more likely winner and should have enough quality to break down a fragile Chapecoense defence. Expect a fairly open game with both teams capable of scoring, but Vasco's control and clinical finishing should prove decisive.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Chapecoense-sc
L
L
W
L
L
Vasco DA Gama
W
W
L
L
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 76 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 73 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 60 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 57 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 50 |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47 |
| 9 |  Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 47 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 44 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 41 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40 |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 37 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 37 |
| 19 |  Remo | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 21 |
Other Football matches
Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.