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Mirassol vs Atletico-MG Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 14-11-2026
Nov 1421:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Mirassol 1-0 Atletico-MG
MirassolDrawAtletico-MG
Mirassol host Atletico-MG in Serie A's 35th round at the José Maria de Campos Maia, with the visitors holding a commanding edge in the league standings. Atletico-MG sit seventh on 50 points, while Mirassol languish in 14th with 40 points—a six-point gap that reflects a season of contrasting fortunes. The hosts have endured a torrid run of form, while their guests arrive with momentum on their side.
Team form
Mirassol
Mirassol's recent record makes for grim reading. They have lost their last five league matches without scoring in four of them, conceding 8 goals across those five games. Over that stretch they managed just 2 goals. Their season average of 1.15 goals scored and 1.41 conceded per game underscores a side struggling to find the net and vulnerable at the back. The defensive shape, built on a 5-4-1 formation, has not arrested the slide.
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG present a sharper picture. In their last five outings they have won three times, including a 4-0 demolition of Chapecoense-sc and a 2-1 victory over Atletico Paranaense. They scored 7 goals across those five matches and conceded only 4, yielding an average of 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded per game—markedly superior to their hosts. Their 4-4-2 setup has proven effective in both attack and defence.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record favours Atletico-MG decisively. In their three most recent meetings, Atletico-MG have won twice at home—3-1 in May 2026 and 1-0 in September 2025—with only a 2-2 draw in April 2025 breaking their sequence. Mirassol have not beaten Atletico-MG in this recent cycle and will be seeking to reverse that trend on home soil.
Key factors
Mirassol's defensive fragility is the critical vulnerability. They have conceded in four straight matches and face an Atletico-MG side that has scored in each of their last three outings. The visitors' midfield, anchored by Victor Hugo who scored in his last appearance, carries genuine attacking threat. Mirassol's 5-4-1 shape offers defensive security but limits their attacking ambition—they averaged only 0.49 expected goals in their most recent outing. Atletico-MG's superior goal difference (44:40 versus 39:48) and recent form suggest they will control large periods of play.
Prediction
Mirassol enter as underdogs despite home advantage, and the data supports that assessment. Atletico-MG's recent form, superior league position, and dominance in head-to-head meetings all point toward the visitors. The hosts' inability to score in their last four matches is a critical concern against a side that has tightened their defence. A Mirassol win remains possible given home advantage and the competitive nature of Serie A, but Atletico-MG hold the edge across the key metrics.
This contest carries a slight edge to Mirassol as home side, though the match remains tightly balanced. Atletico-MG's superior form and defensive record make them a genuine threat, and the bookmakers reflect genuine uncertainty—the odds suggest a fairly open encounter. Both teams have shown they can score, and the both-teams-to-score market sits at close to a coin flip. Expect a competitive affair where Mirassol's home support may prove decisive, but Atletico-MG's recent trajectory makes them dangerous opponents.
Match info
Tournaments:
Serie A(Regular Season - 35)
Referee:
No information
Stadium
José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Mirassol
W
L
D
W
L
Atletico-MG
D
L
L
L
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 76 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 73 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 60 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 57 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 50 |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47 |
| 9 |  Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 47 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 44 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 41 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40 |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 37 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 37 |
| 19 |  Remo | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 21 |
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Mirassol vs Atletico-MG - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Mirassol vs Atletico-MG football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.