Match Finished
Expected score: Oviedo 1-1 Girona
Oviedo and Girona meet at the Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere in Segunda División Round 14, both sitting on 21 points in the middle of the table. This is a fixture between two sides who have shown contrasting defensive records this season — Girona's resilience at the back stands out sharply against Oviedo's more porous setup. The head-to-head history suggests these teams know how to find the net against each other, with their last meeting ending 3-3.
Team form
Oviedo
Oviedo have been inconsistent lately. They beat Eibar 3-1 at home two matches back but sandwiched that with a heavy 4-1 defeat at Eldense. Over their last five games, they've scored 10 goals but also conceded 8, averaging 2.0 scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Their season average sits at 1.46 goals per game with 1.23 conceded. Coach Julian Calero's 4-3-2-1 formation has given them attacking thrust, but the defence remains vulnerable.
Girona
Girona have been far more controlled. They've won three of their last five matches and conceded only 2 goals across that run — a miserly 0.4 per game. Their season average of 0.92 goals conceded per game is notably tighter than Oviedo's. They beat FC Andorra 2-0 most recently and drew 1-1 at Tenerife before that. Quique Álvarez's 4-4-2 setup has been disciplined, and they've managed 1.4 goals per game over their recent stretch.
Head-to-head
The two sides have met five times in the record books. Their most recent encounter, in October 2025, ended 3-3 — a high-scoring draw that underlines the attacking potential both carry. Girona won two of the earlier meetings at home, but draws feature prominently in this fixture. Nothing here suggests a straightforward result.
Key factors
Girona's defensive organisation is the standout feature. They've conceded just 12 goals in 13 league games, compared to Oviedo's 16. That discipline will be tested by an Oviedo side that has shown it can score — their 19 goals this season and recent 3-1 win over Eibar prove they have attacking teeth. Conversely, Oviedo's backline will face a Girona attack that, while not prolific, has been efficient and clinical. The bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.71, reflecting the likelihood that both defences will be breached.
Prediction
The model sees this as a finely balanced contest. Oviedo's home advantage and recent attacking form offer encouragement, but Girona's defensive solidity and clean-sheet record this season cannot be ignored. The expected goals are almost identical — 1.38 to 1.34 — suggesting neither side should dominate territorially or in chance creation. The top predicted scores cluster around 1-1, 1-0 and 0-1, all within a narrow band. This is genuinely too close to separate.
The pick is a lean towards a home win, but the margin between all three outcomes is razor-thin. Oviedo have the home crowd and attacking capability, yet Girona's defensive discipline and recent form make them a stubborn proposition. Expect a competitive, tightly contested match where both teams will have chances. The over/under 2.5 goals market is finely balanced, and both teams scoring is a genuine possibility given the attacking resources on display.
Match info
Tournaments:
Referee:
Saul Ais Reig
Stadium
Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | |
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 30 | |
| 3 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24 | |
| 4 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24 | |
| 5 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23 | |
| 6 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 | |
| 7 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 | |
| 8 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | |
| 9 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | |
| 10 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 20 | |
| 11 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 20 | |
| 12 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | |
| 13 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18 | |
| 14 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | |
| 15 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | |
| 16 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14 | |
| 17 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | |
| 18 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 | |
| 19 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | |
| 20 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | |
| 21 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 10 | |
| 22 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 |
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Oviedo vs Girona - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Oviedo vs Girona football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.