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Salisbury vs Chichester City Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 14-11-2026
Nov 1415:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Salisbury 2-1 Chichester City
SalisburyDrawChichester City
Over 2.5 goalsYes (63%)
Both teams to scoreYes (60%)
Salisbury host Chichester City in the FA Trophy Round of 128, a knockout competition that draws teams from across England's non-league pyramid. The hosts come into this fixture as the favourites, and their recent league form suggests they have good reason to be confident.
Team form
Salisbury
Salisbury have shown inconsistency in the National League South but carry momentum into this tie. They won 5-0 at home against Hampton & Richmond on 8 August, a dominant display that showcased their attacking potential. Since then, results have been mixed: they lost 1-2 to Hemel Hempstead Town and 1-2 to Maidstone United away from home, but recovered with a 1-0 victory at Truro City most recently. Over their last five league matches, they have scored 8 goals and conceded 4, averaging 1.6 goals per game while keeping a relatively tight defence at 0.8 conceded per game.
Chichester City
Chichester City play in the Non League Premier Southern South and arrive with a fragile defensive record. Their last five outings tell a concerning story: they shipped 5 goals in a heavy 0-5 defeat at Uxbridge on 12 September, then conceded 2 in a 2-2 home draw with Chertsey Town and another 2 in a 1-2 loss at Hanworth Villa. They have won twice—3-2 against Havant & Wville and 2-0 at Hanwell Town—but overall they have scored 8 goals while conceding 11 across these five matches, a concerning 2.2 per game. That defensive fragility will be tested by Salisbury's attacking threat.
Head-to-head
There is no head-to-head history between these sides, so this is a first meeting in competitive football.
Key factors
The gap in defensive solidity is the defining factor here. Salisbury's 0.8 goals conceded per game compares favourably to Chichester's 2.2, and that difference will likely prove decisive in a knockout tie where one mistake can end a season. Salisbury's home advantage in a single-elimination format also matters; they have shown they can score heavily at their ground. Chichester's attacking output—1.6 per game—is identical to Salisbury's, so the visitors are not without threat, but their leaky defence suggests they will struggle to contain the hosts for 90 minutes. The tie looks fairly open in terms of both sides scoring, but Salisbury should create the clearer chances.
Prediction
Salisbury are the favourite here, and the numbers support it. They have a superior defensive record, home advantage, and recent form that includes a convincing win. Chichester have shown they can score but their defensive vulnerabilities—particularly the 5-0 hammering at Uxbridge—raise serious questions about their ability to keep a clean sheet. In a knockout competition, that kind of inconsistency is punished. Salisbury should have enough to progress, though Chichester's attacking capability means this is unlikely to be a one-sided affair.
Back Salisbury as the favourite to advance. They possess the defensive stability and home advantage that typically decide FA Trophy ties at this level. Chichester will make it competitive, but the hosts should have too much.
Match info
Tournaments:
FA Trophy(Round of 128)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Salisbury
W
W
W
W
D
Chichester City
L
W
W
L
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
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Salisbury vs Chichester City - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Salisbury vs Chichester City football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
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