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Spennymoor Town vs Scarborough Athletic Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 14-11-2026
Nov 1415:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Spennymoor Town 1-2 Scarborough Athletic
Spennymoor TownDrawScarborough Athletic
Over 2.5 goalsYes (61%)
Both teams to scoreYes (60%)
Spennymoor Town host Scarborough Athletic in the FA Trophy Round of 128, a fixture that carries significant weight given the recent head-to-head history between these sides. Both teams arrive from the National League North, where form has been decidedly mixed. This cup tie offers a chance for either side to progress, though the underlying metrics suggest Scarborough hold a narrow edge.
Team form
Spennymoor Town
Spennymoor Town's recent league form has been concerning. Over their last five National League North matches, they have won none, drawing once and losing four times. They have scored just 4 goals across these five games (0.8 per game) while conceding 13 (2.6 per game). Most notably, they suffered a 0-3 defeat to Scarborough Athletic on 18 August, a result that will weigh on team morale heading into this rematch. The hosts have struggled defensively and lack attacking threat.
Scarborough Athletic
Scarborough Athletic's recent record is more balanced, though inconsistent. They have won once, drawn once and lost three times in their last five league outings. Their goal tally stands at 7 scored and 7 conceded (1.4 per game in each direction). A standout 5-1 victory over Southport on 29 August shows they possess attacking capability, yet they have failed to score in their last two matches. Scarborough's form is volatile but their August win over Spennymoor demonstrates they can perform against this opponent.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record between these sides is striking: their last five meetings have produced five consecutive draws. Spennymoor won 1-2 at home on 30 December 2025, drew 1-1 on 18 April 2025, and the pattern continues back to October 2022. However, this trend was broken by Scarborough's 3-0 league victory just two months ago, suggesting the dynamic may have shifted in their favour.
Key factors
Scarborough's recent 3-0 win over Spennymoor is the clearest indicator of current form disparity. The hosts have conceded 13 goals in five games—a defensive vulnerability that a visiting side capable of scoring 5 in a single match can exploit. Scarborough's inconsistency is a concern, but their attacking potential and the fact they have already beaten Spennymoor convincingly this season gives them an edge. Cup football often favours sides with momentum, and while neither team boasts strong recent form, Scarborough's offensive capability provides a platform. The away side's narrow advantage reflects the closeness of the fixture, but their superiority in recent direct competition is material.
Prediction
The model rates Scarborough as a slight favourite, reflecting their superior recent performance against Spennymoor and their greater attacking output over the last five games. Spennymoor's defensive frailty and lack of goals scored make them vulnerable. The predicted scoreline aligns with Scarborough's ability to breach a leaky defence while Spennymoor manage a response. The 60.6% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60.2% for both teams to score suggest an open contest with chances at both ends, though Scarborough are positioned to capitalise more effectively.
Scarborough Athletic are marginally more likely to progress. Their convincing victory over Spennymoor in August, combined with superior attacking output and Spennymoor's defensive vulnerabilities, tilts the balance in the visitors' favour. For fantasy purposes, backing Scarborough to win offers value given the odds, while Spennymoor's attacking players face a tough task against a side that has already demonstrated they can dismantle this defence.
Match info
Tournaments:
FA Trophy(Round of 128)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Spennymoor Town
L
W
L
L
L
Scarborough Athletic
D
L
L
W
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Other Football matches
Spennymoor Town vs Scarborough Athletic - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Spennymoor Town vs Scarborough Athletic football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
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