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Expected score: Unión Sur Yaiza 1-0 Estrella
Unión Sur Yaiza host Estrella in a Tercera División RFEF Group 12 clash where the home side's recent momentum gives them a clear edge. Unión Sur Yaiza sit sixth with 16 points, while Estrella languish in tenth on 13 points—a gap that reflects the quality difference between these two outfits over the season so far.
Team form
Unión Sur Yaiza
Unión Sur Yaiza have hit their stride lately, winning three of their last five games and conceding just 0.8 goals per game in that run. They beat Laguna de Duero 3-1 at home and took a clean sheet away at Villaverde Norte. The only blemish was a 1-2 home loss to Panadería Pulido last week, but before that they were clinical. Their season average of 1.40 goals scored per game shows they have the attacking intent to trouble Estrella's fragile defence.
Estrella
Estrella's form is a mess. They have won just one of their last five—a 2-1 home victory over Playas Sotavento—and have conceded 1.2 goals per game in that spell. Worse, they shipped three at home to Laguna de Duero and blanked in three of their last five outings, including a 0-3 drubbing away at San Miguel. Their season average of 1.50 goals conceded per game is the real worry; they are leaky at the back and cannot afford to give Unión Sur Yaiza space to operate.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record favours the home side. Unión Sur Yaiza won 2-1 at home in March 2023, and the sides drew 2-2 away in November 2022. Estrella have never beaten Unión Sur Yaiza on their ground in recent memory, and that historical pattern aligns with the current form gap.
Key factors
Unión Sur Yaiza's defensive solidity in recent weeks—0.8 goals conceded per game—should frustrate an Estrella attack that is misfiring badly. Conversely, Unión Sur Yaiza's forwards have been sharp, scoring 1.6 per game in their last five. Estrella's inability to keep clean sheets and their toothless finishing away from home are critical vulnerabilities. The home crowd and pitch advantage should amplify Unión Sur Yaiza's control.
Prediction
Unión Sur Yaiza are the favourite here. They are in better form, have a sturdier defence, and have the attacking threat to punish Estrella's leaky backline. Estrella's recent record on the road is particularly poor, and they lack the confidence or firepower to trouble a well-organised home side. The balance of play should tilt decisively toward the hosts.
Unión Sur Yaiza to win. They have the form, the defensive discipline, and the attacking quality to pick apart Estrella's fragile rearguard. Expect a controlled home performance with Unión Sur Yaiza creating the clearer chances and converting at least one of them.
Match info
Tournaments:
Referee:
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Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 25 | |
| 2 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 23 | |
| 3 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20 | |
| 5 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | |
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | |
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | |
| 10 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | |
| 11 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | |
| 12 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12 | |
| 13 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | |
| 16 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | |
| 17 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | |
| 18 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
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Unión Sur Yaiza vs Estrella - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
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