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Valladolid vs Castellón Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 14-11-2026
Nov 1413:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Valladolid 0-1 Castellón
ValladolidDrawCastellón
Over 2.5 goalsYes (56%)
Valladolid host Castellón in Segunda División Round 14, with the visitors arriving as narrow favourites despite playing away. Castellón sit second in the table with a commanding goal difference, while Valladolid occupy 12th and have shown inconsistency in recent weeks. The hosts will need to tighten their defence and capitalise on home advantage to trouble a side that has conceded just 5 goals in 12 games.
Team form
Valladolid
Valladolid's recent record reads as volatile. They hammered Albacete 5-0 in early October but followed that with a 2-3 home loss to Eldense. Over their last five games they have scored 2.6 per outing yet conceded 1.4, a defensive fragility that will concern them against Castellón's potent attack. Their season average of 1.69 goals scored and 1.54 conceded reflects a team capable of creating chances but prone to lapses at the back.
Castellón
Castellón have been the division's most consistent performers. They have won four of their last five matches, including a 5-0 demolition of Tenerife and a 2-0 away victory at Leganes. Their only recent setback came in a 0-1 loss at Andorra. Across five games they have scored 2.0 per match while conceding just 0.6, a defensive record that stands out sharply. Their season average of 1.92 goals scored against 0.42 conceded underlines why they sit second with 27 points from 12 games.
Head-to-head
The pair met twice last season with contrasting results. Castellón won 4-0 away at Valladolid in February, a comprehensive display that hints at their superiority in direct encounters. Valladolid did claim a 1-0 away victory in August, but that result sits in isolation against Castellón's recent dominance. The February scoreline carries more weight given Castellón's current form.
Key factors
Castellón's defensive solidity is the standout metric here. Conceding only 5 goals in 12 games is exceptional; Valladolid will struggle to break them down. Conversely, Valladolid's backline has shown vulnerability—they shipped 3 goals to Eldense and 2 to Las Palmas in recent outings. Castellón's ability to control possession (56% in their last match) and maintain shape will likely frustrate the hosts. Valladolid must avoid early concessions; falling behind against this Castellón side historically leads to heavy defeats. The bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.56, suggesting a fairly balanced attacking picture, yet Castellón's defensive record makes that proposition risky for the hosts.
Prediction
Castellón hold a narrow edge despite the away fixture. Their second-place position, superior goal difference, and recent form all point to a side in control of this matchup. Valladolid's home advantage is offset by their defensive inconsistency and the visitors' proven ability to win on the road. The model suggests Castellón are slight favourites to take the points. Valladolid will need a disciplined, compact display to frustrate Castellón's rhythm, but their recent record offers little confidence they can sustain that for 90 minutes.
Castellón are slight favourites to win this encounter. Their defensive organisation and attacking threat make them the more likely victors, though Valladolid's home status keeps the contest competitive. A cautious approach from the hosts—focusing on structure rather than ambition—offers their best chance of a result, but Castellón's current trajectory suggests they will edge this one.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Valladolid
W
W
W
L
L
Castellón
D
W
W
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 29 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 27 |
| 3 |  Burgos | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 24 |
| 4 |  Eibar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 |
| 5 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 |
| 8 |  Girona | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 |
| 10 |  Las Palmas | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 20 |
| 11 |  Cordoba | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 19 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 |
| 17 |  Real Sociedad II | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 |
| 18 |  Leganes | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 |
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Valladolid vs Castellón - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Valladolid vs Castellón football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.