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Granada CF vs Las Palmas Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 15-11-2026
Nov 1515:15
Match Prediction
Expected score: Granada CF 2-1 Las Palmas
Granada CFDrawLas Palmas
Over 2.5 goalsYes (60%)
Both teams to scoreYes (58%)
Granada CF host Las Palmas in a Segunda División encounter that pits the division's fifth-placed side against a struggling tenth. Granada sit on 23 points from 12 games, while Las Palmas have accumulated 20 points from 13 matches. The hosts' superior league position reflects a season built on attacking threat—20 goals scored against 14 conceded—whereas Las Palmas have leaked 21 goals in their 13 outings, a defensive fragility that defines their campaign.
Team form
Granada CF
Granada's recent record reads inconsistently. They won 3-2 away at Real Sociedad II on 2026-10-04, but that victory masks a troubling pattern: losses to FC Andorra (2-3), Leganes (2-3), and Eibar (0-3) punctuate their last five games. Over this five-match stretch, they have scored 8 goals but conceded 12, averaging 2.4 per game—a defensive concern that contradicts their season average of 1.17. Their 3-5-2 formation, deployed in that Real Sociedad win, emphasizes width and attacking support, yet the data suggests their backline has become vulnerable under pressure.
Las Palmas
Las Palmas arrive in freefall. Their last five matches yield a single draw—2-2 at home to Valladolid on 2026-10-04—and four defeats. Most damaging: a 0-3 home loss to Castellón on 2026-10-17 and a 1-3 away defeat to Mallorca. Over these five games, they have scored just 6 goals while conceding 13, averaging 2.6 per game. Their 5-4-1 formation, a defensive setup, has failed to provide stability. The goalkeeper José Caro and a back line averaging ratings below 6.0 suggest structural weakness rather than tactical adjustment.
Head-to-head
Historical meetings favour Las Palmas decisively. In their last five encounters, Las Palmas have won three times—including 5-1 and 4-1 victories at home in 2016 and 2015—with one draw and no Granada wins. However, those fixtures predate the current season by years; the most recent clash, a 1-0 Las Palmas home win in September 2023, offers limited insight into present form. Granada's current squad composition and recent attacking output differ markedly from those earlier meetings.
Key factors
Granada's attacking potency—1.67 goals per game across the season—should trouble a Las Palmas defence that has conceded 1.62 per game. Granada's 53% possession and 3.60 expected goals in their last outing demonstrate offensive intent. Conversely, Las Palmas' 0.31 expected goals in their most recent match (0-3 loss to Castellón) signals an attack starved of clear-cut opportunities. Granada's midfield, anchored by players such as G. Gumbau and R. Alcaraz, should control tempo. Las Palmas' five-defender shape offers compactness but little creative spark; their attacking outlet, Jefté Betancor, has recorded only 6.32 in rating. The absence of injury or suspension data leaves both sides at full strength, but form divergence is stark.
Prediction
Granada are the favourite. They lead the league standings, have scored more and conceded fewer goals across the season, and face opponents in acute defensive distress. Las Palmas have won only 6 of 13 games and have conceded 13 goals in their last five outings alone. Granada's recent inconsistency—three losses in five—is offset by their superior underlying metrics and home advantage. The data suggests Granada will create the clearer chances and should prevail, though Las Palmas' defensive structure and the unpredictability of recent form inject uncertainty.
Granada are favourites to win. Both teams are likely to score, reflecting Granada's attacking capability and Las Palmas' defensive vulnerabilities. Expect a fairly open game with Granada pressing for control and Las Palmas seeking to exploit transitions. The predicted scoreline leans toward a narrow Granada victory, though the volatility in both teams' recent results means the outcome remains contested rather than assured.
Match info
Tournaments:
Segunda División(Regular Season - 14)
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Nuevo Los Cármenes, Granada
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Granada CF
W
W
W
W
Las Palmas
W
W
W
W
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 30 |
| 3 |  Girona | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24 |
| 4 |  Burgos | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23 |
| 6 |  Eibar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 |
| 7 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 |
| 8 |  Sporting Gijon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 10 |  Cordoba | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 20 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 20 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 |
| 15 |  Leganes | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 |
| 16 |  Eldense | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14 |
| 17 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 |
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Granada CF vs Las Palmas - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Granada CF vs Las Palmas football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.