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Tenerife vs AD Ceuta FC Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 15-11-2026
Nov 1513:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Tenerife 2-1 AD Ceuta FC
TenerifeDrawAD Ceuta FC
Over 2.5 goalsYes (69%)
Both teams to scoreYes (63%)
Tenerife hosts AD Ceuta FC in Segunda División Round 14 on 15 November 2026. The hosts occupy 14th place with 15 points from 12 matches, while Ceuta sit bottom of the division with just 5 points from 13 games. This fixture presents a significant gulf in current form and league position between the two sides.
Team form
Tenerife
Tenerife have taken 6 points from their last five matches, drawing with Girona and Cadiz while losing to Cordoba and suffering a heavy defeat at Castellón. They scored 6 goals and conceded 10 across this run. Over the full season, they average 1.25 goals scored and 1.42 conceded per game. Their most recent outing saw them held 1-1 at home by Girona, where they managed 42% possession and 3 shots on goal despite an 83% pass accuracy.
AD Ceuta FC
Ceuta's campaign has been troubling, with only 1 win, 2 draws and 10 losses leaving them adrift at the bottom. Their recent five-game sequence yielded 7 goals scored but 8 conceded, a marginal improvement on their season average of 0.77 scored and 2.31 conceded per game. Most recently they lost 1-2 at home to Sabadell. In that match they dominated possession at 67% and created 4 shots on goal, yet their underlying metrics—1.71 expected goals—could not translate into points.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings between these teams are recorded in the available data.
Key factors
The league standings reveal the scale of the challenge facing Ceuta. Tenerife's defensive record, conceding 1.42 per game, is substantially better than Ceuta's attacking average of 0.77 goals scored per game. Conversely, Ceuta have conceded 2.31 per game, a vulnerability that Tenerife's attack—averaging 1.25 goals—should be positioned to exploit. Ceuta's recent match data shows they can dominate possession and create chances, yet they have converted few opportunities into results. Tenerife, despite inconsistent form, have the superior squad depth and experience at this level. Coach Alvaro Cervera's 4-4-2 formation offers a direct approach suited to pressing an error-prone defence, while Jose Romero's 3-4-2-1 setup for Ceuta is more adventurous but leaves them exposed on the counter-attack.
Prediction
Tenerife are the favourite to win. The hosts' league position, defensive solidity and recent home record provide a platform, while Ceuta's defensive frailty and inability to convert chances despite possession dominance suggests they will struggle to break down a well-organised opponent. Tenerife should create the clearer opportunities and are better equipped to punish Ceuta's lapses. Both sides have shown they can score in recent matches, making a competitive contest likely, but the quality gap favours the hosts decisively.
Back Tenerife to win. They are the more likely winner and should have sufficient control and attacking threat to overcome a Ceuta side whose season has unravelled. Expect a fairly open game with goals at both ends, though the hosts should edge it.
Match info
Tournaments:
Segunda División(Regular Season - 14)
Referee:
Iosu Galech Apezteguia
Stadium
Heliodoro Rodríguez López, Santa Cruz de Tenerife
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Tenerife
D
D
D
D
AD Ceuta FC
L
L
W
L
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 30 |
| 3 |  Girona | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24 |
| 4 |  Burgos | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23 |
| 6 |  Eibar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 |
| 7 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 |
| 8 |  Sporting Gijon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 10 |  Cordoba | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 20 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 20 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 |
| 15 |  Leganes | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 |
| 16 |  Eldense | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14 |
| 17 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 |
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Tenerife vs AD Ceuta FC - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Tenerife vs AD Ceuta FC football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.