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Burnley vs Wolves Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 16-10-2026
Oct 1619:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Burnley 0-1 Wolves
BurnleyDrawWolves
Over 2.5 goalsYes (53%)
Both teams to scoreYes (56%)
In the upcoming Championship encounter at Turf Moor, Burnley will host Wolves on October 16, 2026. This clash sees two clubs with contrasting fortunes so far this season, making this matchup particularly intriguing for fans and bettors alike.
Team form
Burnley
Burnley currently sits at the bottom of the table in 22nd place, with just 7 points from 9 matches. Their recent form has been troubling, exemplified by their inability to secure consecutive wins, which has left them with a single victory alongside four draws and four losses. Over their last five fixtures, Burnley has averaged only 1.0 goals scored while conceding 2.2, highlighting defensive weaknesses. Coach Nicky Hayen will need to find a way to shore up the backline and create more scoring opportunities for his team to improve their standing.
Wolves
Wolves present a stark contrast, positioned fifth with 14 points from 8 games. They come into this match fresh off a disappointing loss, but prior to that, their form showed a solid balance, featuring four wins in their last five games with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Coach César Peixoto will seek to capitalize on his team's attacking players, especially given their fairly resilient record, as they aim to pick up crucial points in a closely contested league.
Head-to-head
Historically, the encounters between these two sides have often yielded varied results. In their last five meetings, Burnley defeated Wolves 4-0 in April 2021, showcasing a notable performance from the Clarets. However, Wolves managed to maintain a respectable record in recent years with several draws and even a narrow defeat against Burnley, suggesting that whilst Burnley has had success, the matches are often tightly contested and regions of parity still exist.
Key factors
Wolves will have the advantage of both form and confidence heading into this fixture, but both teams have offensive strengths worth noting. Burnley boasts a notable attack with Z. Amdouni consistently looking for goals, while Wolves will rely on their well-rounded midfield and experienced defenders to craft scoring chances. With Wolves' average of 1.54 expected goals per match combined with Burnley’s defensive struggles, an away victory appears likely. Moreover, the fixture is set to be competitive, encouraging open play that should yield chances on both ends.
Prediction
Considering Burnley's struggles on home soil and Wolves' capacity to exploit their defense, the statistical model supports Wolves as the most likely victor. The projected goals suggest Burnley could find the net, but the away side should have more tools at their disposal to secure the win. A balanced approach, including a well-timed utilisation of possession and quick transitions, will be crucial for both sides.
With Wolves emerging as the favorites for this match based on their form and historical edge, an away win seems the most plausible outcome of this fixture.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Burnley
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Wolves
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Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 |
| 5 |  West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 |  Stoke City | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 |  Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 8 |  QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 |  Wolves | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 |  Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 11 |  Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Southampton | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 |
| 15 |  Sheffield Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 17 |  Lincoln | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 19 |  Norwich | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 20 |  Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 21 |  Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 22 |  Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 24 |  Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 |
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Burnley vs Wolves - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Burnley vs Wolves football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.