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Lumezzane vs Novara Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 17-09-2026
Sep 1716:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Lumezzane 1-0 Novara
LumezzaneDrawNovara
Over 2.5 goalsNo (38%)
Both teams to scoreNo (45%)
In an intriguing encounter, Lumezzane hosts Novara at the Tullio Saleri in what is expected to be a closely contested Serie C - Girone A match. Both teams are struggling to find consistency early in the season, making this clash crucial for their ambitions.
Team form
Lumezzane
Lumezzane enters this fixture with a mixed bag of results over their last five matches, recording 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses. Their recent outing saw them draw 2-2 against Renate, indicating some resilience. However, they have been unable to comfortably find the back of the net, averaging 0.8 goals scored per game while conceding 1.2. This gives them a season total of 4 goals scored and 6 conceded across four matches, leaving them 13th in the standings with only 4 points.
Novara
Novara's recent form mirrors that of Lumezzane, also marking 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their previous five games. Their latest match resulted in a narrow 0-1 defeat to Pergolettese, raising concerns about their offense which averages 1.0 goals scored per game and 1.0 conceded. So far this season, Novara has accumulated 4 points as well, with a total of 4 goals scored and just 5 conceded, positioning them in 12th place, slightly ahead of Lumezzane.
Head-to-head
The historical context of their encounters suggests a competitive rivalry; in the last five meetings, Lumezzane has emerged victorious twice while Novara has secured one win and two fixtures have ended in draws. Notably, in their most recent match-up in April 2026, Lumezzane triumphed with a score of 3-1, which has likely boosted their morale heading into this encounter.
Key factors
Both teams exhibit similarities in their recent performances, characterized by low scoring and defensive frailties. For Lumezzane, the return to their home ground may provide the needed impetus for a solid performance despite their inconsistency. Novara, on the other hand, will need to tighten their defense after conceding important goals in recent outings. The ability of either side to convert chances will likely be pivotal.
Prediction
Considering recent performances, Lumezzane appears to hold a slight edge due to their historical strength against Novara and playing at home. The expected goals metrics favor a narrow match with both teams averaging close to one goal per game. This tends to imply a tight battle where small margins will decide the outcome, with Lumezzane potentially finding that extra bit of quality in front of their fans.
Accordingly, Lumezzane is deemed the preferred choice by our predictive model to claim victory in this matchup against Novara.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Lumezzane
D
L
W
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D
Novara
W
D
D
L
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cittadella | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 |  Ospitaletto | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 3 |  Union Brescia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 |  Alcione | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 |  Dolomiti Bellunesi | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 6 |  Trento | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 7 |  Treviso | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 |  Juventus U23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 |  Albinoleffe | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 |  Desenzano Calvina | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 |  Athletic Carpi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Novara | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 13 |  Lumezzane | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 14 |  PRO Vercelli | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 15 |  Arzignano Valchiampo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 16 |  Lecco | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 17 |  Pergolettese | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 18 |  Folgore Caratese | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 19 |  Renate | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 20 |  Giana Erminio | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
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Lumezzane vs Novara - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Lumezzane vs Novara football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.