Match Finished
Accrington ST vs Gillingham Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 17-10-2026
Oct 1714:00
3 : 1
Match Prediction
Expected score: Accrington ST 1-1 Gillingham
Accrington STDrawGillingham
Both teams to scoreYes (59%)
Accrington ST host Gillingham in League Two's 11th round at The Wham Stadium. The hosts sit 15th on 11 points after ten games, while Gillingham occupy fourth with 16 points — a five-point gap that reflects the gulf in their respective seasons so far. This is a clash between a side struggling for consistency and one that has built genuine momentum.
Team form
Accrington ST
Accrington's recent record is a mess. They lost 1-2 away at Barnet on 12 September, extending a run that has seen them win just once in their last five — a 3-2 home victory over Crawley Town on 5 September. Over those five games they have shipped 11 goals while scoring 8, conceding 2.2 per match. The defensive fragility is the real concern: they have conceded 14 goals in ten league games this season, averaging 1.40 per outing. In their last match, they managed only 39% possession and 2 shots on goal, a performance that screams of a side lacking attacking threat and vulnerable at the back.
Gillingham
Gillingham have been the superior outfit. They won 2-0 at home against Tranmere on 12 September and before that thrashed Rochdale 4-1 away on 5 September. In their last five matches they have conceded just 3 goals — 0.6 per game — which is the foundation of their league position. They have scored 8 goals across those five fixtures, a balanced attack-to-defence ratio that has kept them competitive. Their last outing showed 47% possession and 5 shots on goal, with an expected goals tally of 1.53, suggesting they are creating and finishing chances more efficiently than their opponents.
Head-to-head
The historical record heavily favours Gillingham. In their last five meetings, Gillingham have won three times — 1-0 away in 2021, 1-0 away in 2019, and 2-0 away in 2018 — with one draw in 2012 and only one Accrington victory, a 4-3 home win in January 2012. Gillingham's away record in this fixture is particularly impressive, having won all three of their most recent visits to The Wham Stadium.
Key factors
Gillingham's defensive solidity is the standout metric. Conceding 0.6 goals per game over five matches is elite-level defending for this division, and it contrasts sharply with Accrington's leaky backline. Gillingham have also shown they can score — their 4-1 demolition of Rochdale proved they have attacking teeth when the opportunity arises. Accrington, by contrast, are averaging 1.30 goals per season game and have won only once in five. The bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.67, reflecting a genuine belief that Accrington can trouble Gillingham despite their form. The goals market sits at 1.85 for over 2.5, suggesting a fairly open encounter.
Prediction
Gillingham's league position, defensive record, and head-to-head dominance all point to the visitors as the more likely winners. However, Accrington's home advantage and the bookmakers' willingness to back both teams to score — at 60% implied probability — means this is not a one-sided affair. Gillingham have the quality to win, but Accrington have shown they can score at home, having beaten Crawley 3-2 recently. The match is too close to separate, with the top two outcomes level and the pick a marginal lean rather than a clear advantage.
This match leans toward an away win for Gillingham, but the margin between the top outcomes is razor-thin. Expect a competitive game where Gillingham's defensive discipline and superior league form give them a marginal edge, yet Accrington's home record and recent attacking displays mean they remain capable of salvaging a result. A fairly open contest with both sides likely to find the net.
Match info
Tournaments:
League Two(Regular Season - 11)
Referee:
No information
Stadium
The Crown Ground, Accrington
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Accrington ST
D
D
W
D
D
Gillingham
W
W
D
L
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 22 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21 |
| 3 |  Crewe | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 |  York | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 |
| 5 |  Walsall | 10 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 |  Gillingham | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Chesterfield | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Cheltenham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 9 |  Bristol Rovers | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 15 |
| 10 |  Accrington ST | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 |
| 11 |  Newport County | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 |
| 12 |  Fleetwood Town | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 |
| 13 |  Rochdale | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 |
| 14 |  Shrewsbury | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 |
| 15 |  Grimsby | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 |
| 16 |  Exeter City | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 |
| 17 |  Tranmere | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12 |
| 18 |  Swindon Town | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 19 |  Oldham | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 |
| 20 |  Colchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 21 |  Port Vale | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 22 |  Northampton | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 23 |  Rotherham | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 |
Other Football matches
Accrington ST vs Gillingham - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Accrington ST vs Gillingham football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.