Match Finished
Buxton vs Worksop Town Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 17-10-2026
Oct 1714:00
2 : 2
Match Prediction
Expected score: Buxton 3-1 Worksop Town
BuxtonDrawWorksop Town
Over 2.5 goalsYes (84%)
Both teams to scoreYes (73%)
Buxton travel to face Worksop Town in National League North action on 17 October 2026, a fixture that pits two mid-table sides separated by just one point in the standings. Buxton sit tenth with 16 points from 11 games; Worksop occupy fifteenth with 15. On paper, the hosts hold a marginal advantage, but recent form tells a more complicated story—one where volatility rather than consistency defines both camps.
Team form
Buxton
Buxton's last five matches reveal a team prone to extremes. They suffered a heavy 0-4 defeat at Morecambe on 5 September, then bounced back with wins over Merthyr Town (2-1) and Oxford City (3-2), before losing to Hebburn Town (1-2) and Bedford Town (1-2). Across these five games they scored 7 but conceded 11—a concerning defensive record at 2.2 per game, well above their seasonal average of 1.73. Their season average of 1.64 goals scored sits respectable, yet recent form shows only 1.4 per game. The pattern suggests a side struggling for consistency at the back.
Worksop Town
Worksop's trajectory is similarly erratic. They won twice in August—against AFC Telford United (2-1) and Darlington 1883 (2-1)—but have since lost three consecutive matches: 1-3 to Spalding United, 0-3 to Hereford, and 0-1 to Hebburn Town. Over their last five outings they managed only 5 goals while conceding 9, averaging 1.0 per game in attack and 1.8 in defence. Their season average of 1.09 goals scored ranks among the division's lower outputs. The away side arrives in poor form, having failed to score in two of their last three games.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record favours Buxton decisively. In their last three meetings, Buxton won twice: 2-1 away on 6 April 2026 and 3-1 at home on 30 December 2025. The only draw came in July 2024, a goalless stalemate. Buxton have scored 5 goals across these three fixtures while Worksop managed just 2. Historical advantage rests firmly with the hosts.
Key factors
Buxton's defensive fragility is the critical variable. Conceding 2.2 per game in their recent run is unsustainable and contradicts their season average. If they tighten up, their attacking output—boosted by recent wins—should prove decisive against a Worksop side that has scored in only three of their last five matches and blanked in two. Worksop's inability to generate consistent attacking threat, combined with their current losing streak, suggests they will struggle to breach a Buxton defence that, despite recent lapses, remains statistically superior over the season. The hosts' home advantage and superior head-to-head record add weight to their case.
Prediction
Buxton are strong favourites, though not without risk. Their recent defensive lapses inject uncertainty into what should be a routine home win. Worksop's attacking poverty—1.09 goals per game—and current form slump make them unlikely to punish Buxton's vulnerabilities. The data points toward a Buxton victory, with both sides likely to score given Buxton's recent defensive issues and Worksop's occasional spark. The hosts should create the clearer chances and convert them more efficiently.
Buxton to win. The hosts hold clear advantages in form trajectory, head-to-head record, and attacking capability. Worksop's recent struggles and low scoring output make them vulnerable, though Buxton must address their defensive inconsistency to avoid a closer contest than their position suggests.
Match info
Tournaments:
National League - North(National League North - 12)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Buxton
L
L
L
W
W
Worksop Town
W
L
L
W
D
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Macclesfield | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 |
| 2 |  Hereford | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
| 3 |  Oxford City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
| 4 |  King's Lynn Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 |  Chester | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 |
| 6 |  South Shields | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 |  Hednesford Town | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 |  Hebburn Town | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 |
| 9 |  Spalding United | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 10 |  Chorley | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 11 |  Buxton | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 |
| 12 |  Bedford Town | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16 |
| 13 |  Worksop Town | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 16 |
| 14 |  Scarborough Athletic | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 |
| 15 |  Merthyr Town | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 |
| 16 |  Marine | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 15 |
| 17 |  Harborough Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 18 |  Brackley Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 |
| 19 |  Morecambe | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 |
| 20 |  Radcliffe | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 12 |
| 21 |  AFC Telford United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 22 |  Southport | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 23 |  Darlington 1883 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
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Buxton vs Worksop Town - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Buxton vs Worksop Town football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
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