Match Finished
Ebbsfleet United vs Weston-super-Mare Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 17-10-2026
Oct 1714:00
6 : 1
Match Prediction
Expected score: Ebbsfleet United 1-0 Weston-super-Mare
Ebbsfleet UnitedDrawWeston-super-Mare
Over 2.5 goalsNo (24%)
Both teams to scoreNo (27%)
Ebbsfleet United host Weston-super-Mare at Stonebridge Road Stadium in National League South on 17 October, with both sides locked on 18 points. The hosts sit sixth after eight games, while Weston-super-Mare occupy seventh from eleven. This is a fixture between two evenly matched teams in the standings, though recent form tells a different story.
Team form
Ebbsfleet United
Ebbsfleet have been in outstanding form. They demolished AFC Totton 5-0 at home on 13 October, then beat Folkestone Invicta 1-0 the week before. Over their last five outings they have scored 10 goals and conceded just 3, averaging 2.0 per game scored and 0.6 conceded. The only blemish was a 1-1 draw away at Slough Town. At the season level they are averaging 1.75 goals scored and 0.38 conceded per game—a defensive record that stands out in the division.
Weston-super-Mare
Weston-super-Mare's recent record is mixed and harder to read. Their last five matches span from late July through late August, making it difficult to gauge current momentum. In that run they scored 8 goals and conceded 4, averaging 1.6 and 0.8 per game. They beat Hampton & Richmond and Chesham United both 3-0 at home but also lost to Dover 2-3 and drew 0-0 at Torquay. Over the full season they are averaging 1.73 goals scored and 1.00 conceded—a more leaky defence than their hosts.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record favours Weston-super-Mare. They won both recent meetings: a 3-1 victory away at Ebbsfleet in March 2026 and a 1-0 home win in November 2025. That said, Ebbsfleet's current form is a sharp contrast to those earlier results, and recent league form often carries more weight than historical scorelines.
Key factors
Ebbsfleet's defensive solidity is the standout metric here. Conceding just 0.38 per game is exceptional at this level, and they have shipped only 3 goals in 8 matches. Weston-super-Mare's defence is permeable by comparison at 1.00 per game. Ebbsfleet's recent attacking output—10 goals in five games—suggests they have the firepower to exploit that. Weston-super-Mare's form data is dated, which introduces uncertainty; they may have improved or deteriorated since late August. Home advantage at Stonebridge Road also matters in a tight contest.
Prediction
Ebbsfleet hold a slight favourite status. Their recent form is significantly stronger than Weston-super-Mare's, their defence is considerably tighter, and they play at home. The expected goals balance favours the hosts, though not overwhelmingly. Weston-super-Mare's head-to-head edge and their ability to score—1.73 per game season average—means they remain a genuine threat. This is not a one-sided affair; the draw is a realistic outcome, and Weston-super-Mare's away record against Ebbsfleet deserves respect.
Ebbsfleet are marginally more likely to win, but this is a cautionary pick. Their recent form and home advantage tip the balance in their favour, yet Weston-super-Mare have shown they can trouble them. Expect a low-scoring game; both sides are capable of keeping it tight, and a 1-0 result is the likeliest scoreline. Do not be surprised by a draw or a narrow away win.
Match info
Tournaments:
National League - South(National League South - 12)
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Stonebridge Road Stadium, Northfleet
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Ebbsfleet United
W
W
W
L
D
Weston-super-Mare
D
L
D
D
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Maidstone Utd | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ebbsfleet United | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21 |
| 3 |  Salisbury | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21 |
| 4 |  Billericay Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21 |
| 5 |  Truro City | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Tonbridge Angels | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Dagenham & Redbridge | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 |  Weston-super-Mare | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 |
| 9 |  Dover | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 |
| 10 |  Dorking Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 17 |
| 11 |  Farnham Town | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 12 |  Folkestone Invicta | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16 |
| 13 |  Torquay | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 |
| 14 |  Chelmsford City | 10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 14 |
| 15 |  Horsham | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 |
| 16 |  Hemel Hempstead Town | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14 |
| 17 |  Farnborough | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 |
| 18 |  Maidenhead | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
| 19 |  Chesham United | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 |
| 20 |  Braintree | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 |
| 21 |  AFC Totton | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 10 |
| 22 |  Hampton & Richmond | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 |
| 23 |  Walton & Hersham | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 |
| 24 |  Slough Town | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 |
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