Match Finished
Expected score: Hebburn Town 2-1 Scarborough Athletic
Hebburn Town host Scarborough Athletic in National League North on 17 October 2026, with the hosts holding a five-point advantage in the standings. Hebburn sit seventh with 18 points from 11 games, while Scarborough occupy 19th place on 12 points. Both sides have managed identical scoring rates across the season—1.45 goals per game—but Hebburn concede 1.73 per game against Scarborough's 1.45, revealing defensive frailties that the league table does not fully capture.
Team form
Hebburn Town
Hebburn's recent form reads as inconsistent. They began with a 1-1 draw at Brackley Town on 15 August, then won 1-0 at home against Worksop Town and 2-1 away at Buxton. A 4-2 home victory over King's Lynn Town followed, but they suffered a 0-3 defeat at Macclesfield on 31 August, which exposed defensive vulnerabilities. Over their last five matches, they have scored 8 goals and conceded 7, averaging 1.6 per game offensively and 1.4 defensively—figures that flatter their season average. The pattern suggests a side capable of attacking but prone to lapses in concentration.
Scarborough Athletic
Scarborough have won just once in their last five outings: a 5-1 demolition of Southport at home on 29 August. That result is a significant outlier. Their other four matches tell a different story: defeats to King's Lynn Town (1-3 away), Chorley (1-2 away), and AFC Telford United (0-1 home), plus a goalless draw at Macclesfield. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 7 across this run, but the distribution is skewed—one performance inflates their average. Away from home, Scarborough have lost twice and drawn once in their three fixtures, suggesting travel is a problem.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings between these sides are available in the data.
Key factors
Hebburn's home advantage is real: they have won both of their last two home matches and concede fewer goals on average than Scarborough. However, their defensive solidity is overstated—the 0-3 loss to Macclesfield reveals they can be dismantled by organised opposition. Scarborough's away record is poor, but their 5-1 win over Southport indicates they are capable of explosive attacking play when conditions align. The key question is whether Scarborough can replicate that intensity or whether Hebburn's home record will prove decisive. Scarborough's defensive discipline—they have conceded 7 in five games—is respectable, but Hebburn's recent attacking form (8 goals in five matches) suggests the hosts should create chances. Both teams average 1.45 goals per game season-wide, but Hebburn's superior position and home status point to a marginal edge.
Prediction
Hebburn hold a narrow edge as hosts. Their league position, home record, and recent attacking output support a slight favourite tag, though Scarborough's ability to score in bursts—evidenced by the Southport rout—means they cannot be dismissed. The expected goal balance favours the hosts, and Hebburn's defensive record at home offers modest protection. Scarborough's away form, however, is sufficiently poor that backing them would require confidence in an away performance they have not yet delivered this season.
Hebburn Town are slight favourites to win. A close contest is likely, with both teams capable of scoring, but the hosts' home advantage and superior league position give them a marginal edge. Expect an open game with chances at both ends.
Match info
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Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 | |
| 3 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 | |
| 4 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 | |
| 6 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 | |
| 7 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | |
| 8 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | |
| 9 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | |
| 10 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | |
| 11 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | |
| 12 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16 | |
| 13 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 16 | |
| 14 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | |
| 15 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | |
| 16 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 15 | |
| 17 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | |
| 18 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | |
| 19 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 | |
| 20 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 12 | |
| 21 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | |
| 22 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | |
| 23 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | |
| 24 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
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Hebburn Town vs Scarborough Athletic - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
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