Match Finished
Merthyr Town vs King's Lynn Town Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 17-10-2026
Oct 1714:00
1 : 1
Match Prediction
Expected score: Merthyr Town 2-1 King's Lynn Town
Merthyr TownDrawKing's Lynn Town
Over 2.5 goalsYes (59%)
Both teams to scoreYes (60%)
Merthyr Town host King's Lynn Town in National League North on 17 October 2026. The visitors arrive as the stronger league side, sitting sixth with 19 points from 11 games, while Merthyr occupy 18th place with 14 points. This fixture offers the hosts a chance to arrest their inconsistent start, though they face a side that has demonstrated clear attacking intent this season.
Team form
Merthyr Town
Merthyr's recent record reads two wins, two draws and one loss across their last five outings. They drew 1-1 away at South Shields and 2-2 at home to AFC Telford United, but lost 1-2 at Spennymoor Town. A 2-0 home victory over Hednesford Town stands as their most convincing result in this run. Over these five matches they have scored 1.2 goals per game and conceded the same, indicating a side that creates opportunities but remains vulnerable at the back. Their season average of 1.18 goals scored and 1.09 conceded reflects a team struggling to impose itself consistently.
King's Lynn Town
King's Lynn present a markedly different picture. Their last five matches show three wins, one draw and one loss, with goals of 2.2 per game scored and 1.6 conceded. They beat Chorley 2-0 at home, won 2-0 away at Darlington 1883, and defeated Scarborough Athletic 3-1 at home. Defeats to Hednesford Town (2-3) and Hebburn Town (2-4) reveal defensive lapses, yet their season average of 1.91 goals scored and 1.36 conceded underlines a more potent attacking unit. They have won six of their 11 league matches, establishing themselves as genuine contenders in the division.
Head-to-head
The pair's recent history presents a split picture. Merthyr won 1-0 at home in January 2026, but King's Lynn dominated their previous meeting with a 4-0 away victory in August 2025. That emphatic away win suggests King's Lynn possess the capability to overwhelm their hosts, though Merthyr's home advantage and subsequent victory in the reverse fixture demonstrate they can compete.
Key factors
King's Lynn's superior league position and attacking output form the primary advantage. They have scored 21 goals in 11 games compared to Merthyr's 13, a meaningful difference that reflects their ability to break down defences. Merthyr, however, play at home where they secured their recent win over Hednesford and drew with Telford. Both sides have shown defensive vulnerabilities—Merthyr concede at a similar rate to their scoring, while King's Lynn have shipped 15 goals despite their stronger record. This suggests both teams are capable of finding the net.
Prediction
Merthyr hold a slight favourite status in this encounter, primarily through home advantage and recent head-to-head success. King's Lynn remain the superior side on paper, yet Merthyr's ability to draw with stronger opponents and secure a home victory against them in January provides a foundation for confidence. The expected goal balance favours the hosts marginally, and both teams' tendency to concede suggests an open match. The narrow margin between the sides and Merthyr's home ground tilt the balance toward the hosts, though King's Lynn's attacking prowess ensures they will pose a genuine threat.
Back Merthyr Town to win. They are slight favourites in a competitive fixture where home advantage and recent head-to-head form provide the edge. Expect a match where both teams create chances and find the net—a fairly open game that reflects both sides' attacking intent and defensive frailties.
Match info
Tournaments:
National League - North(National League North - 12)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Merthyr Town
D
L
L
D
D
King's Lynn Town
W
W
L
W
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Macclesfield | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 |
| 2 |  Hereford | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
| 3 |  Oxford City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
| 4 |  King's Lynn Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 |  Chester | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 |
| 6 |  South Shields | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 |  Hednesford Town | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 |  Hebburn Town | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 |
| 9 |  Spalding United | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 10 |  Chorley | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 11 |  Buxton | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 |
| 12 |  Bedford Town | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16 |
| 13 |  Worksop Town | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 16 |
| 14 |  Scarborough Athletic | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 |
| 15 |  Merthyr Town | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 |
| 16 |  Marine | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 15 |
| 17 |  Harborough Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 18 |  Brackley Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 |
| 19 |  Morecambe | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 |
| 20 |  Radcliffe | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 12 |
| 21 |  AFC Telford United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 22 |  Southport | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 23 |  Darlington 1883 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
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Merthyr Town vs King's Lynn Town - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
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