Morecambe vs Hereford Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 17-10-2026

Oct 1714:00
Morecambe

Postponed

Hereford
Match Prediction

Expected score: Morecambe 0-1 Hereford

24%
26%
50%
MorecambeDrawHereford
Over 2.5 goalsNo (34%)
Both teams to scoreNo (38%)

Morecambe host Hereford at The Mazuma Stadium in National League North - 12 on 17 October 2026. The hosts sit 17th with 14 points from 11 games, while Hereford occupy second place with 23 points. This is a clash between a side fighting to find consistency and one of the division's standout performers this season.

Team form

Morecambe

Morecambe's recent record shows sharp volatility. They won three of their last five matches — beating Buxton 4-0, Chester 1-0, and AFC Telford United 2-1 — but lost to Radcliffe 1-2 and South Shields 0-1 in their two games before that. Over those five fixtures they scored 8 and conceded 4, averaging 1.6 goals for and 0.8 against. The season average tells a different story: 1.36 scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their current league position reflects a team capable of bright moments but unable to sustain them.

Hereford

Hereford have been far more reliable. They won three of their last five — defeating Worksop Town 3-0, Radcliffe 3-0, and Marine 1-0 — and drew with Chester 1-1, with only a 1-2 loss to Buxton breaking their run. Over those five games they scored 9 and conceded 3, averaging 1.8 for and 0.6 against. Crucially, their season average of 2.00 scored and 0.55 conceded per game demonstrates they have maintained their defensive discipline and attacking threat throughout the campaign. They are the second-best team in the division by points and have earned that position through consistency.

Head-to-head

There is no head-to-head history between these sides to draw upon.

Key factors

Hereford's defensive record is the standout metric here. They have conceded just 6 goals in 11 league games — a rate of 0.55 per match — and their recent form shows they have tightened further, conceding only 3 in their last five. Morecambe, by contrast, have conceded 11 in 11 games overall and 4 in their last five. The visitors' attacking output is also superior: 2.00 per game for the season, 1.8 in recent form, against Morecambe's 1.36 and 1.6. Morecambe will need to be organised and clinical to trouble a Hereford side that has shown they can control matches. The home advantage at The Mazuma Stadium offers some encouragement, but Hereford's league position and underlying metrics suggest they are the stronger proposition.

Prediction

Hereford hold a narrow edge in this fixture. Their superior defensive record, combined with a more prolific attack and better recent consistency, gives them the advantage. Morecambe have shown they can win at home — their 4-0 victory over Buxton proves that — but they lack the defensive solidity to contain a side averaging 2.00 goals per game. The visitors' second-place finish is no accident. This is a tight contest, but the balance of evidence points to Hereford as the more likely winner.

Expect a fairly tight affair with Hereford as a slight favourite. Both sides are capable of scoring, but Hereford's defensive discipline should prove decisive. A low-scoring away win is the most likely outcome, though Morecambe's home form means a draw remains a genuine possibility. For tactical analysts, watch how Morecambe set up to press Hereford's build-up play — disrupting their rhythm will be key to any home success.

Match info

Tournaments:

National League - North(National League North - 12)

Referee:

No information

Stadium

The Mazuma Stadium, Morecambe

Statistics

Odds Comparison

Recent Form

Morecambe
L
W
D
W
W
Hereford
L
D
L
W
W

Injuries & Suspensions

Lineups

Standings

#TeamMPWDLGFGAGDPTS
1
Macclesfield
11731179824
2
Hereford
117222261623
3
Oxford City
117222171423
4
King's Lynn Town
126242216620
5
Chester
11623149520
6
South Shields
116231817120
7
Hednesford Town
125342119218
8
Hebburn Town
125341621-518
9
Spalding United
11524149517
10
Chorley
115241818017
11
Buxton
125252021-117
12
Bedford Town
115151415-116
13
Worksop Town
125161419-516
14
Scarborough Athletic
124351816215
15
Merthyr Town
123631413115
16
Marine
115061312115
17
Harborough Town
114341112-115
18
Brackley Town
124351523-815
19
Morecambe
114251511414
20
Radcliffe
124081521-612
21
AFC Telford United
123361118-712
22
Southport
122371323-109
23
Darlington 1883
122281424-108
24
Spennymoor Town
111461223-117
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