Match Finished
Newport County vs York Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 17-10-2026
Oct 1714:00
1 : 1
Match Prediction
Expected score: Newport County 1-2 York
Newport CountyDrawYork
Over 2.5 goalsYes (63%)
Both teams to scoreYes (66%)
Newport County host York City at Rodney Parade in League Two's 11th round, with the visitors arriving as the slight edge in what shapes as a competitive encounter. York sit fifth on 15 points from nine games, while Newport occupy 12th with 10 points from the same number of matches. The hosts' recent form has stalled—one win in five—whereas York have demonstrated greater consistency, winning two of their last four outings.
Team form
Newport County
Newport's last five matches reveal a side struggling to build momentum. They drew 0-0 away at Accrington, drew 1-1 at home to Fleetwood, and lost 0-1 away at Northampton. A 1-2 defeat at Salford and a 2-2 home draw with Tranmere complete the picture: four goals scored, six conceded over that span. Their season average of 1.30 goals per game and 1.20 conceded suggests a side capable of creating chances but vulnerable at the back. Coach H. Mullins has settled on a 3-4-2-1 shape, though their attacking output remains inconsistent.
York
York's trajectory is markedly different. They opened their recent run with a commanding 4-0 home victory over Swindon Town, followed by a 1-1 draw at Crewe and a 2-3 loss at Cheltenham. A 2-1 home win over Exeter and a 1-1 draw away at Rotherham round out five matches in which they scored 10 and conceded 6. Their season average of 1.89 goals per game outpaces Newport significantly. Scott Lindsey's team has demonstrated attacking intent, particularly in their dominant display against Swindon where they generated 9 shots on goal and 3.08 expected goals.
Head-to-head
Historical meetings between these sides favour York in recent encounters. York won 3-0 away in 2015 and 2-0 away in 2012. Newport's victories came at home: 3-1 in 2014 and 3-0 in 2013, with a 2-1 home win in 2012. The pattern suggests York have held sway in away fixtures, while Newport have been stronger on their own ground—a dynamic worth monitoring given this is a home match for the Welsh side.
Key factors
York's superior goal-scoring rate—averaging 1.89 per game against Newport's 1.30—gives them an offensive advantage. However, Newport's home record in the head-to-head and their defensive solidity (1.20 conceded per game) cannot be ignored. York's passing accuracy of 83% in their last outing and their ability to control possession (67% in that same match) suggest they will dictate play. Conversely, Newport's 3-4-2-1 formation offers defensive structure and potential for counter-attacking opportunities. The bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.61, implying a fairly open contest.
Prediction
York's attacking prowess and league position edge them ahead in a tight matchup. Their recent form—particularly the clinical performance against Swindon—demonstrates they can break down defences. Newport, despite home advantage and a respectable defensive record, have won only once in five and lack the goal-scoring consistency to dominate. York's midfield control, evidenced by their possession and passing metrics, should allow them to create the clearer opportunities. A close affair is expected, with York's quality in the final third likely to prove decisive.
York are slight favourites to take the points in what promises to be a competitive fixture. The visitors' superior attacking output and recent form give them an edge, though Newport's home record and defensive organisation mean this will be decided by fine margins. Expect a fairly open game with both sides likely to register on the scoresheet.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Newport County
W
D
D
W
W
York
D
W
D
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 22 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21 |
| 3 |  Crewe | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 |  York | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 |
| 5 |  Walsall | 10 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 |  Gillingham | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Chesterfield | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Cheltenham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 9 |  Bristol Rovers | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 15 |
| 10 |  Accrington ST | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 |
| 11 |  Newport County | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 |
| 12 |  Fleetwood Town | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 |
| 13 |  Rochdale | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 |
| 14 |  Shrewsbury | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 |
| 15 |  Grimsby | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 |
| 16 |  Exeter City | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 |
| 17 |  Tranmere | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12 |
| 18 |  Swindon Town | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 19 |  Oldham | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 |
| 20 |  Colchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 21 |  Port Vale | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 22 |  Northampton | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 23 |  Rotherham | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 |
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Newport County vs York - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Newport County vs York football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.