Match Finished
Swindon Town vs Walsall Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 17-10-2026
Oct 1714:00
1 : 1
Match Prediction
Expected score: Swindon Town 1-2 Walsall
Swindon TownDrawWalsall
Over 2.5 goalsYes (55%)
Both teams to scoreYes (59%)
Swindon Town host Walsall at County Ground in League Two's 11th round, with the visitors arriving as slight favourites despite the hosts' home advantage. Walsall sit sixth on 15 points from nine games, while Swindon occupy 17th with 11 points from ten. This is a clash between a side finding rhythm and one still searching for consistency.
Team form
Swindon Town
Swindon's recent record tells a story of volatility. They won three of their last five matches—beating Colchester 3-1 and Port Vale 3-1 at home, plus Cheltenham 2-1—but sandwiched between those victories were heavy defeats: 0-4 away at York and 0-3 at Oldham. Over these five games they scored 8 but conceded 10, averaging 1.6 goals for and 2.0 against. For the season, they average 0.90 scored and 1.40 conceded per game, suggesting a side that struggles to create and leaks chances. Ian Holloway's 4-3-3 setup showed just 33% possession and 1.01 expected goals in their last outing, indicating they are being outplayed regularly.
Walsall
Walsall have built a more stable platform. From their last five, they won twice—3-2 against Accrington and 2-0 at Port Vale—and drew three times, including a 2-2 with Crewe. They scored 7 and conceded only 4 over that span, averaging 1.4 for and 0.8 against. Across the season, they average 1.33 scored and 0.67 conceded, a markedly superior defensive record. Lee Grant's 4-2-3-1 controlled possession at 64% in their last match, reflecting a team that dictates play. Walsall have not lost in their last five games.
Head-to-head
The historical record is mixed. Swindon won twice away—4-1 in December 2014 and 2-0 in November 2012—but Walsall took a 1-0 home victory in April 2017 and drew 1-1 twice. These meetings span nearly a decade, so current form carries more weight than the head-to-head pattern.
Key factors
Walsall's defensive solidity stands out: they have conceded just 6 goals in 9 league games, compared to Swindon's 14 in 10. Swindon's attack, averaging 0.90 goals per game, will face a well-organised backline. Conversely, Walsall's 1.33 goals per game should trouble a Swindon defence that has been breached regularly. Possession and control favour the visitors; Walsall's midfield engine, anchored by Isaac Moore and S. Sprangler, should dominate the ball. Swindon will need to be compact and clinical on the counter, but their recent form suggests they lack the cutting edge. The bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.52, reflecting the likelihood that Walsall will create chances while Swindon get chances of their own.
Prediction
Walsall hold a narrow edge. They are unbeaten in five, possess a superior defensive record, and control possession in their matches. Swindon's home record is mixed—they have won at home but also conceded heavily. Walsall's experience in controlling games and their goal-scoring average of 1.33 per game suggest they will create the clearer opportunities. A fairly open match is expected, with both sides likely to score, but the visitors' consistency and defensive discipline give them the advantage.
Walsall are marginally more likely to take the points. Back the away win.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Swindon Town
L
L
D
L
L
Walsall
W
D
D
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 22 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21 |
| 3 |  Crewe | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 |  York | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 |
| 5 |  Walsall | 10 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 |  Gillingham | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Chesterfield | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Cheltenham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 9 |  Bristol Rovers | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 15 |
| 10 |  Accrington ST | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 |
| 11 |  Newport County | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 |
| 12 |  Fleetwood Town | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 |
| 13 |  Rochdale | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 |
| 14 |  Shrewsbury | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 |
| 15 |  Grimsby | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 |
| 16 |  Exeter City | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 |
| 17 |  Tranmere | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12 |
| 18 |  Swindon Town | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 19 |  Oldham | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 |
| 20 |  Colchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 21 |  Port Vale | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 22 |  Northampton | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 23 |  Rotherham | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 |
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Swindon Town vs Walsall - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Swindon Town vs Walsall football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
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