Match Finished
Welling United vs Burgess Hill Town Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 17-10-2026
Oct 1714:00
4 : 2
Match Prediction
Expected score: Welling United 1-0 Burgess Hill Town
Welling UnitedDrawBurgess Hill Town
Over 2.5 goalsNo (44%)
Welling United host Burgess Hill Town in Non League Premier - Isthmian Regular Season action on 17 October 2026. The hosts sit third in the standings with 24 points from 11 games, while Burgess Hill occupy ninth place with 17 points from 10 matches. This is a fixture between two sides moving in different directions, with Welling's superior league position reflecting a stronger campaign so far.
Team form
Welling United
Welling United have been inconsistent over their last five outings. They opened with a commanding 4-1 home win over Wingate & Finchley, then suffered a heavy 1-4 defeat away at Cray Wanderers. Since then they have recovered, winning 1-0 at home to Ramsgate, 3-0 away at Dartford, and 4-0 at home to Stanway Rovers. Across these five matches they scored 13 goals and conceded 5, averaging 2.6 per game offensively and 1.0 defensively. Their season average stands at 1.82 goals scored and 0.91 conceded per match, indicating a side that generally creates chances and keeps things tight at the back.
Burgess Hill Town
Burgess Hill Town have been more stable recently, picking up results consistently. They won 4-1 at home to Maldon & Tiptree on 3 October, then 2-0 at home to Dulwich Hamlet on 13 October. Before that came a 2-2 draw at home to Ramsgate, a 1-1 away draw at Whitehawk, and a 2-1 home win over Dartford. Over five matches they scored 11 and conceded 5, averaging 2.2 goals for and 1.0 against. Their season record shows 1.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game—a side that scores regularly but has been slightly more vulnerable defensively than Welling.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record favours Burgess Hill. They won 2-1 away at Welling in November 2025 and repeated the feat with a 2-1 home victory in March 2026. Both meetings have been competitive, but Burgess Hill have shown they can trouble Welling's defence and find the net when it matters.
Key factors
Welling's league position and superior points tally reflect their stronger overall season, but recent form shows they can be vulnerable—the 1-4 loss to Cray Wanderers is a reminder of that. Burgess Hill arrive with momentum from back-to-back wins and have proven they can win away from home. Welling's defensive record is notably better than Burgess Hill's, conceding 0.91 per game against 1.10. The visitors' ability to score (1.80 per game) means they will create chances, but Welling's tighter backline should give them an edge. Home advantage is a factor, though Burgess Hill's recent away win at Whitehawk shows they travel reasonably well.
Prediction
Welling hold a slight favourite status. Their third-place finish, superior defensive record, and home advantage combine to give them the edge, but Burgess Hill's recent form and head-to-head success mean this is far from a foregone conclusion. The hosts should create the clearer chances, but the visitors are capable of making this competitive. A fairly open game is likely, with both defences tested.
Welling United are marginal favourites to take the points, though Burgess Hill will fancy their chances based on recent results and their head-to-head record. Expect a competitive match where the hosts' home advantage and stronger league position give them a narrow edge, but the visitors should not be underestimated.
Match info
Tournaments:
Non League Premier - Isthmian(Regular Season - 13)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Welling United
L
W
W
D
L
Burgess Hill Town
W
D
W
W
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Enfield Town | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 28 |
| 2 |  Welling United | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 27 |
| 3 |  Lewes | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 |
| 4 |  Dartford | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 24 |
| 5 |  Carshalton Athletic | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 |  Ramsgate | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 |  Eastbourne Borough | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 |  Chatham Town | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 18 |
| 9 |  Burgess Hill Town | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 17 |
| 10 |  St Albans City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 11 |  Dulwich Hamlet | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 12 |  Wingate & Finchley | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 13 |  Whyteleafe | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 |
| 14 |  Leatherhead | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 15 |  Cheshunt | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 |
| 16 |  Aveley | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14 |
| 17 |  Cray Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 18 |  Maldon & Tiptree | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 10 |
| 19 |  Brentwood Town | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 9 |
| 20 |  Three Bridges | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 21 |  Whitehawk | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 |
| 22 |  Stanway Rovers | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 |
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