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Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 17-10-2026
Oct 1713:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Werder Bremen 2-1 SC Paderborn 07
Werder BremenDrawSC Paderborn 07
Over 2.5 goalsYes (73%)
Both teams to scoreYes (63%)
Werder Bremen host SC Paderborn 07 at the Weserstadion in Bundesliga Regular Season Round 6. Bremen sit seventh with 8 points from 5 games, while Paderborn occupy 15th place with 4 points. The hosts are heavy favourites in the betting markets, priced at 1.78 for a home win.
Team form
Werder Bremen
Bremen have shown attacking intent in recent weeks, scoring 11 goals across their last five matches. They won 3-2 at home against FC Augsburg on 19 September, displaying a 3-4-3 formation with 59% possession and 11 shots on goal. That victory followed a 3-1 home win over RB Leipzig. However, their defence has been leaky—they conceded 8 goals in those five games, including a 1-4 away loss to SC Freiburg. Their season average stands at 2.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game, suggesting a team capable of creating chances but vulnerable at the back.
SC Paderborn 07
Paderborn are struggling badly. They have won just once in five league games and scored only 3 goals across their last five matches. Their most recent outing, a 0-2 home defeat to VfB Stuttgart on 10 October, saw them manage just 51% possession and 6 shots on goal despite an xG of 1.91. Their only recent victory came 3-1 at home against 1899 Hoffenheim on 20 September, but they have since lost to Borussia Dortmund and SC Freiburg without scoring. Defensively, they have conceded 7 goals in five games. Season averages of 0.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game underline their offensive fragility.
Head-to-head
The teams drew 2-2 when they met on 8 August this year. In earlier meetings, Paderborn have enjoyed success: they won 4-1 away in 2021 and 1-0 away in 2019. Bremen won 4-0 at home in 2014, and the sides drew 2-2 in 2015. While Paderborn have shown they can trouble Bremen, recent form heavily favours the hosts.
Key factors
Bremen's attacking threat, led by players who scored in their last outing, should trouble a Paderborn side that has shipped goals consistently. Paderborn's inability to convert chances—evidenced by their low goal tally despite reasonable xG figures—suggests they will struggle to break down Bremen's 3-4-3 setup. The bookmakers price over 2.5 goals at 1.52 and both teams to score at 1.51, reflecting an expectation of an open game. Bremen's possession advantage in recent matches and Paderborn's defensive record point toward the hosts controlling large periods.
Prediction
Bremen are clear favourites and should prevail. Their recent wins, attacking output, and home advantage align with the betting markets. Paderborn's poor form—one win in five—and low scoring rate make them unlikely to trouble the hosts significantly. The expected goal balance favours Bremen substantially. A comfortable home victory is the most likely outcome, though Paderborn's occasional ability to score means a one-goal margin remains plausible.
Back Werder Bremen to win. The hosts have the form, firepower, and home advantage to secure three points against a Paderborn side in freefall. For fantasy purposes, Bremen's attacking players offer better value than Paderborn's misfiring forwards.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Werder Bremen
D
L
W
D
W
SC Paderborn 07
L
W
W
L
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SC Freiburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 3 |  Bayern München | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 |  FC Augsburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 |  SV Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 |  1. FC Köln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 12 |  Hamburger SV | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 13 |  FC Schalke 04 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 14 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 15 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 17 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
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Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.