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Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 18-10-2026
Oct 1813:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 SC Freiburg
Bayer LeverkusenDrawSC Freiburg
Over 2.5 goalsYes (69%)
Both teams to scoreYes (66%)
Bayer Leverkusen host SC Freiburg at the BayArena in Matchday 6 of the Bundesliga season. Freiburg arrive as league leaders with an impressive record, while Leverkusen sit fourth and will be keen to close the gap. This clash pits the division's most prolific attack—both sides average 2.80 goals per game—against Freiburg's exceptional defence, which has conceded just 0.80 per game.
Team form
Bayer Leverkusen
Leverkusen have won three of their last five matches, most recently beating FSV Mainz 05 4-3 away on 2026-10-10 in an entertaining encounter. They also defeated RB Leipzig 2-0 at home and Union Berlin 4-0, though they drew 2-2 at FC Augsburg and lost 2-3 at SV Elversberg. Their attack is firing, but defensive inconsistency—conceding 1.60 per game on average—remains a concern. Coach Carles Martínez's 4-2-3-1 setup relies on creative midfield play through Aleix García and M. Diaby to unlock opponents.
SC Freiburg
Freiburg have been outstanding, winning four of five games to top the standings with 13 points. Their only blemish is a 2-2 draw at Eintracht Frankfurt. They demolished Borussia Mönchengladbach 5-0 at home, beat FC Schalke 04 2-1 most recently, and won 1-0 at SC Paderborn 07 and 4-1 at home to Werder Bremen. Their defensive discipline is the standout feature—just four goals conceded in five matches. Coach J. Schuster's team operates in a similar 4-2-3-1 shape, with M. Eggestein anchoring midfield.
Head-to-head
The last five meetings between these sides span 2014 to 2018, with Freiburg holding the edge: two home wins (3-2 in 2014, 2-1 in 2017) against three goalless draws. Leverkusen have never beaten Freiburg in this sequence, though the sample is now eight years old and both squads have evolved significantly.
Key factors
Leverkusen's attacking potency will be tested by Freiburg's resolute backline. P. Schick, who scored in the last match, will lead the home line, supported by the creative energy of Aleix García and Diaby. Freiburg's strength lies in their compact shape and ability to suffocate opponents—I. Matanović leads their press up front. The midfield battle between Leverkusen's R. Andrich and Aleix García against Freiburg's M. Eggestein and Y. Engelhardt will be crucial. Possession may favour the hosts slightly, but Freiburg's efficiency in transition could be the deciding factor.
Prediction
Leverkusen are the favourites to win at home, supported by their recent attacking form and the BayArena advantage. However, Freiburg's defensive organisation and league-leading record make them a stern test. Both teams are capable of scoring—the bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.48—and a fairly open game is expected. Leverkusen's home record and attacking quality edge them ahead, but Freiburg will not be easy to break down.
Back Bayer Leverkusen to win. The hosts have the firepower to trouble Freiburg's defence at home, and their recent form suggests they can capitalise on their chances. Expect an entertaining encounter with goals at both ends.
Match info
Tournaments:
Bundesliga(Regular Season - 6)
Referee:
Florian Badstubner
Stadium
BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Bayer Leverkusen
W
W
W
W
D
SC Freiburg
W
W
W
D
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 |  SV Elversberg | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 |  RB Leipzig | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 |  Hamburger SV | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 12 |  1. FC Köln | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 13 |  VfB Stuttgart | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 14 |  FC Schalke 04 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 15 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 17 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
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Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
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