Second Half
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 18-10-2026
Oct 1812:30
2 : 2
Match Prediction
Expected score: Cambuur 0-2 AZ Alkmaar
CambuurDrawAZ Alkmaar
Over 2.5 goalsYes (70%)
Cambuur host AZ Alkmaar at Kooi Stadion in Leeuwarden on Sunday in a Eredivisie regular season clash that pits a struggling mid-table side against one of the league's most in-form teams. The visitors arrive as heavy favourites, sitting third with 19 points from eight games, while the hosts languish in 12th with just 8 points. This fixture has all the hallmarks of a mismatch on paper.
Team form
Cambuur
Cambuur have shown flickers of promise but remain inconsistent. They beat PEC Zwolle 1-0 away last time out and won 3-0 at home against NEC Nijmegen earlier in the month, yet those victories sit alongside defeats and draws that undermine any sense of momentum. Over their last five games they have scored 8 and conceded 7, averaging 1.6 goals for and 1.4 against. The concern is their season-long record: 11 goals scored against 19 conceded tells the story of a leaky defence that struggles to contain better-organised attacks. At home they managed 54% possession and 0.88 expected goals in their last outing, suggesting they lack the control needed to trouble a top-three side.
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar are the real deal this season. They have won six of eight league games and conceded just eight goals all campaign—a miserly defensive record. Their recent form reads impressively: five games yielded 10 goals scored and 7 conceded. Yes, they lost 0-2 to Feyenoord last time out, but that came away at one of the league's elite. Before that they had won three straight, including a 5-2 demolition of GO Ahead Eagles. They average 2.25 goals per game and 1.00 conceded, figures that dwarf Cambuur's output and fragility. Even in their last match away at Feyenoord, they created 1.04 expected goals despite the scoreline, showing they remain dangerous even in defeat.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record favours AZ decisively. In their last five meetings, AZ have won three times and drawn twice, while Cambuur have never beaten them. The visitors won 1-0 away in 2022 and 3-1 away in 2021, establishing a clear pattern of dominance. Cambuur have not scored more than one goal in any of these five encounters. That historical trend, combined with AZ's superior defensive discipline this season, suggests another comfortable away victory is likely.
Key factors
The gulf in defensive solidity is the decisive factor here. AZ have conceded just one goal per game on average while Cambuur leak 2.38 per game. AZ's midfield control—anchored by players like Koopmeiners—should allow them to dictate tempo and limit Cambuur's attacking forays. Cambuur's best hope lies in their recent home form against weaker sides, but AZ are not a weak side. The bookmakers price over 2.5 goals at 1.34, reflecting confidence in an open game with AZ likely to score multiple times. Both teams to score sits at 1.48, a market too close to call given AZ's strong defensive record.
Prediction
AZ's third-place position, superior goal difference, and track record against Cambuur all point to a clear away victory. The visitors have won six of eight and conceded only eight goals all season—they are built to win matches like this. Cambuur's leaky defence and mid-table mediocrity offer little resistance to a side averaging 2.25 goals per game. While Cambuur showed some fight in their last outing, AZ's consistency and control make them strong favourites to take all three points. The expected goal balance heavily favours the visitors, and their defensive discipline should keep Cambuur at arm's length.
AZ Alkmaar should win this comfortably. They are the superior side in every metric that matters—league position, goals scored, goals conceded, and head-to-head record. Cambuur will struggle to break down a disciplined AZ defence, and the visitors' attacking quality should prove too much. Back AZ to secure a convincing away victory.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Cambuur
W
D
W
D
L
AZ Alkmaar
W
L
W
L
D
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23 |
| 2 |  AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 |
| 4 |  Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 |  Groningen | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 |  Heerenveen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Excelsior | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 13 |  Cambuur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 14 |  Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
Other Football matches
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.