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Fiorentina vs Como Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 18-10-2026
Oct 1813:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Fiorentina 1-2 Como
FiorentinaDrawComo
Over 2.5 goalsYes (66%)
Both teams to scoreYes (64%)
Fiorentina host Como at the Stadio Artemio Franchi on Sunday in a Serie A clash that pits a struggling home side against one of the league's in-form visitors. The Viola sit 19th with just 4 points from six games, while Como have climbed to 7th with 11 points and a genuine run of momentum behind them. This is a fixture that could define both teams' seasons in very different ways.
Team form
Fiorentina
Fiorentina are in real trouble. They've won just once in six league games and that sole victory came against Venezia back in September. Since then, they've lost to Genoa and Frosinone and drawn with Napoli. Over their last five matches they've scored 7 goals but conceded 10—a defensive record that screams vulnerability. In their most recent outing against Genoa, they managed only 3 shots on goal despite 63% possession, a telling sign of how blunt their attack has become. With R. Sottil sidelined by a back injury, their attacking options are further depleted.
Como
Como are the polar opposite. They've won three of their last five and lost just once in that stretch, a 0-2 defeat at Frosinone. More impressively, they've conceded only 5 goals across those five games while scoring 8. Their defensive solidity under Cesc Fàbregas is striking—they've shipped just 6 goals in six league matches overall. In their last match against AS Roma, they kept a clean sheet. They're a team that knows how to win tight games and control possession; they had 66% of the ball against Roma.
Head-to-head
Como hold the upper hand in recent history. They've won three of the last five meetings, including victories in each of the last two seasons. Fiorentina's sole win in this sequence came in February this year when they won 2-1 away, but that's the exception rather than the rule. Como have shown they know how to hurt this Fiorentina side.
Key factors
Fiorentina's defensive fragility is the elephant in the room. They're conceding 2.33 goals per game on average this season—the worst in this matchup by a distance. Como, by contrast, are averaging just 1.0 conceded per game and have proved they can shut down quality attacks. Fiorentina need to create chances and convert them, but their recent output suggests neither is happening reliably. Como's midfield control, anchored by solid performers like M. Perrone and L. da Cunha, should allow them to dictate tempo. The bookmakers price this as a fairly open affair with both teams likely to score, but the underlying form tells a starker story.
Prediction
Como are the favourite here, and it's not a close call. They're better organised, more resilient defensively, and have genuine attacking threat. Fiorentina are leaking goals and struggling to score enough to compensate. The visitors' recent form is substantially superior, and their head-to-head record gives them psychological edge. While Fiorentina can trouble anyone on their day, that day hasn't arrived often enough this season. Como should have enough to secure the points.
Back Como to win. The visitors are the more likely winner and have the tools to exploit Fiorentina's defensive weaknesses. Expect a competitive match, but Como's solidity should prevail.
Match info
Tournaments:
Serie A(Regular Season - 7)
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Fiorentina
L
D
W
W
L
Como
D
L
W
W
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 |  Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 |  Como | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 |  Frosinone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Sassuolo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Torino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bologna | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Udinese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Monza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 17 |  Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 18 |  Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
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Fiorentina vs Como - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Fiorentina vs Como football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.