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Clermont Foot vs Guingamp Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 23-10-2026
Oct 2318:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Clermont Foot 1-1 Guingamp
Clermont FootDrawGuingamp
Both teams to scoreYes (57%)
Clermont Foot host Guingamp at Stade Gabriel Montpied in Ligue 2's tenth round, a fixture between two sides struggling to build momentum. Clermont sit 16th with 7 points from nine games; Guingamp occupy 13th with 8 points. Both teams have leaked goals at an alarming rate—Clermont conceding 1.33 per game on average, Guingamp 1.67—and neither has found consistent attacking rhythm. This is a match between two teams fighting relegation form, not promotion ambition.
Team form
Clermont Foot
Clermont's recent record reads as defensive chaos masked by occasional attacking flashes. They drew 3-3 away at Laval, then lost 2-3 at home to RED Star FC 93, exposing fragility when pressed. Before that, three consecutive draws (1-1 at Grenoble, 0-0 at home to Boulogne, 1-1 away at Dunkerque) suggest a side that cannot break opponents down but equally struggles to hold leads. Over their last five games, they've scored 7 but conceded 8—a net-negative record that mirrors their league position. Coach David Guion's 4-1-4-1 setup offers defensive structure, yet the execution has been brittle. The attacking pair of Christophe Okou and Florian Bianchini showed promise in the Laval draw (Okou with 1 goal and 1 assist, Bianchini with 1 goal), but consistency remains elusive.
Guingamp
Guingamp's away form is worse. They lost 0-1 at Nancy in their last outing, extending a run of one win in five games. That solitary victory came at home against Annecy (2-1); away from Guingamp, they have drawn twice and lost twice. The 1-3 home defeat to RED Star FC 93 and the 0-1 loss at Nancy reveal a side vulnerable to direct pressure. Over five games, Guingamp have scored 8 but conceded 10—a goal difference of minus-2 that underscores their defensive instability. Serhou Ripoll's 4-4-2 lacks the midfield control to dominate possession; they managed only 46% and 0.5 expected goals in their last match. Goalkeeper Adrián Ortolá (rating 8.1) has been a bright spot, but the outfield cannot provide him consistent protection.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record is mixed but tilted toward Clermont in away fixtures. Guingamp won 3-1 at home in March 2025, but Clermont's away record against them is strong: they won 5-0 in 2021 and 2-1 in 2019. At home, Clermont have drawn once (2013) and lost once (2012, 3-1). This fixture offers no clear historical edge, but Clermont's away performances in this rivalry suggest they can compete when on the road.
Key factors
Defensive vulnerability is the defining theme. Clermont concede 1.33 per game; Guingamp 1.67. Both teams will create chances, but neither can be trusted to stop the other. The bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.68, reflecting that expectation. Possession will likely favour Guingamp (they averaged 46% in their last match), but Clermont's recent 3-3 draw shows they can exploit space on the counter. Okou and Bianchini are Clermont's primary threats; Hemia and Bokangu offer Guingamp's main attacking outlets. The midfield battle—Bianchini and Cantero against Ben Brahim and Louiserre—will determine whether either side can build sustained pressure. Set pieces may prove decisive given both teams' open defensive play.
Prediction
The statistical profile suggests a tight, open contest. Clermont's home record (0 wins, 7 draws, 2 losses) shows they struggle to win at Montpied, while Guingamp's away form is marginally worse. Both teams are leaking goals and creating chances at similar rates. The model expects approximately 1.34 goals for Clermont and 1.4 for Guingamp, indicating a closely matched encounter. The bookmakers price the away win at 2.31 against 2.91 for home, reflecting Guingamp's slight edge despite their inferior league position—a lean justified by Clermont's inability to convert home advantage into wins. The market for both teams to score (1.68) is tight, and the over/under 2.5 goals line is finely balanced.
This match is too close to separate. Guingamp edge the odds as a slight away lean, but Clermont's home record and recent attacking displays make them a credible alternative. Expect an open, defensive-frailty-exposed game where both sides will create and concede. The draw remains a genuine possibility given both teams' recent form. For the hardcore enthusiast, the value lies in backing both teams to score rather than backing a specific outcome—the defensive fragility of both sides makes that proposition the most reliable read of this fixture.
Match info
Tournaments:
Ligue 2(Regular Season - 10)
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Stade Gabriel Montpied, Clermont-Ferrand
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Clermont Foot
D
L
L
D
D
Guingamp
L
L
W
L
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint Etienne | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 22 |
| 2 |  Montpellier | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 |
| 3 |  Reims | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 4 |  RED Star FC 93 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 5 |  Nancy | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 |  PAU | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 |  Metz | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 |  Annecy | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 9 |  Dijon | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Dunkerque | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 11 |  Sochaux | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
| 12 |  Boulogne | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Guingamp | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Nantes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 15 |  Grenoble | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 16 |  Clermont Foot | 9 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 17 |  Rodez | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
| 18 |  Laval | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
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Clermont Foot vs Guingamp - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Clermont Foot vs Guingamp football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.