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Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 23-10-2026
Oct 2318:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Empoli 2-1 Vicenza Virtus
EmpoliDrawVicenza Virtus
Both teams to scoreYes (59%)
Empoli host Vicenza Virtus at Stadio Carlo Castellani in Serie B's eighth round, with both sides scrapping for points in the lower half of the table. Empoli sit 14th on 7 points; Vicenza are just below them in 17th with 6. This is a match where the bookmakers see genuine uncertainty — all three outcomes are priced within a tight band, and the goals market is finely balanced. For punters, that spells opportunity.
Team form
Empoli
Empoli have won once in their last five, drawing with Ascoli away and losing heavily to Palermo at home. They've conceded 8 goals across those five games while scoring 5, so the defensive frailties are real. On the bright side, they held their own against a strong Palermo side for large stretches before the floodgates opened, and they did take three points off Carrarese. Season-long, they're averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game — respectable on attack, vulnerable at the back.
Vicenza Virtus
Vicenza have been even more leaky, conceding 10 goals in their last five outings and scoring just 5. They drew 2-2 with Benevento last time out, which showed some attacking spark, but the 3-0 hammering by Pisa the week before laid bare their defensive problems. Across the season they're averaging 1.29 goals scored per game — slightly better than Empoli — but 2.14 conceded is alarming. They're fragile on the road and at home alike.
Head-to-head
History heavily favours the hosts. In their last four meetings, Empoli have won three times and drawn once. Most recently in 2021, Empoli won 4-2 at home and 2-0 away. Vicenza have not beaten Empoli in this fixture since at least 2016. That record gives the home side genuine edge.
Key factors
Both teams operate in a 3-5-2 shape, so the midfield battle will be crucial. Empoli's J. Ceesay scored in their last outing and will be a focal point; Vicenza's T. Corazza also netted recently and offers a threat. The bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.64, reflecting that neither defence is watertight — a fair assessment given the recent form. Empoli's possession was just 38% in their last match, suggesting they may sit deeper here and look to counter. Vicenza had 45% possession against Benevento, so they'll likely press for control. The over/under 2.5 goals market is too close to call, with the odds hovering near even money either way.
Prediction
Empoli edge this as the most likely outcome, though it's far from a foregone conclusion. The home advantage, superior head-to-head record, and marginally better recent form all tilt toward the hosts. Vicenza's leaky defence — 2.14 conceded per game — makes them vulnerable to Empoli's attacking shape, especially with Ceesay in form. That said, Vicenza can score (1.29 per game) and Empoli's backline is porous enough to allow them chances. Expect goals at both ends; a 2-1 home win is the likeliest scoreline, but a draw or away victory remain live possibilities in what shapes as a competitive encounter.
Back Empoli to win as the most likely outcome in a genuinely open match. The odds at 2.35 offer reasonable value given the historical edge, home ground, and current form. For the goals market, both teams to score at 1.64 looks tempting — both sides have shown they can find the net, and the bookmakers price goals at both ends as the more likely scenario. This is a game where all three results are plausible, so selective betting on specific angles beats chasing the outright winner alone.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Empoli
D
L
L
L
W
Vicenza Virtus
D
L
L
L
D
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 |
| 2 |  Mantova | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
| 3 |  Pisa | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Modena | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 |  Sudtirol | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 6 |  Ascoli | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 7 |  Avellino | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 |  Benevento | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Arezzo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 |  Virtus Entella | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 11 |  Hellas Verona | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 |  Carrarese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
| 14 |  Empoli | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
| 15 |  Padova | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
| 16 |  Cremonese | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 18 |  Juve Stabia | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
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Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.