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Gateshead vs Tamworth Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 23-10-2026
Oct 2318:45
Match Prediction
Expected score: Gateshead 1-2 Tamworth
GatesheadDrawTamworth
Over 2.5 goalsYes (64%)
Both teams to scoreYes (59%)
Gateshead hosts Tamworth at Gateshead International Stadium in National League Round 14, a fixture that pits two sides heading in opposite directions. The hosts sit 24th with just 1 win from 13 games, while Tamworth occupy 18th with a far healthier 4 wins from the same number of matches. This is a clash where the visitors arrive as favourites, and the underlying numbers explain why.
Team form
Gateshead
Gateshead's season has been a struggle. They've won just once in their opening 13 games, collecting 4 points and sitting bottom of the league. Their recent form tells a grim story: they lost 0-1 at home to Sutton United, then suffered a heavy 0-3 defeat away at Yeovil Town. Their only bright spot came with a 2-0 home win over Woking, but that remains an isolated success. Across their last five matches they've scored just 4 goals while conceding 8, and their season average of 0.62 goals scored per game is among the division's poorest. Defensively, they're leaking 2.38 per game on average—a serious concern against any attacking threat.
Tamworth
Tamworth have shown far more resilience. They've accumulated 14 points from 13 games and sit comfortably mid-table. Their recent record is mixed but encouraging: they drew 3-3 away at Boreham Wood, won 3-1 away at AFC Telford United, and drew 1-1 at home to Macclesfield. Most recently they lost 1-2 at home to AFC Fylde, but their attacking output remains solid. Over their last five outings they've scored 10 goals and conceded 9, averaging 2.0 goals per game—significantly better than Gateshead's output. They're the more clinical finishers and the more organised unit.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record strongly favours Tamworth. In their last five meetings, Tamworth have won three times, with Gateshead managing just one victory—a 1-0 away win in 2013. Most tellingly, Tamworth won 3-1 at home just nine months ago in January 2026, demonstrating their current superiority. Gateshead's sole recent success in this fixture came over a decade ago. The pattern is clear: Tamworth have the upper hand in this rivalry.
Key factors
The gulf in league position and recent form is the dominant factor here. Gateshead's defensive fragility—conceding 2.38 per game—will be tested by a Tamworth side averaging 1.62 goals scored per game. Tamworth's experience and consistency contrast sharply with Gateshead's struggles. The visitors' ability to score multiple goals, as shown in their 3-3 draw and 3-1 win in recent weeks, suggests they can break down a leaky home defence. Gateshead's lack of firepower (0.62 goals per game) makes it hard to imagine them mounting a serious threat, even at home. Tamworth's head-to-head dominance adds another layer of confidence for the visitors.
Prediction
Tamworth are the favourite here, and the data supports that decisively. The visitors have superior form, a better league position, a stronger recent goal-scoring record, and a commanding head-to-head advantage. Gateshead's defensive record and lack of attacking threat make them vulnerable to a Tamworth side that has shown it can score freely. While Gateshead's home advantage provides some comfort, it's unlikely to overcome the quality gap. Expect Tamworth to control this match and come away with the win.
Back Tamworth to win. The visitors are the favourite and should have too much for a struggling Gateshead side. A fairly open game is likely, with both teams capable of scoring, but Tamworth's superior attacking output and defensive organisation should prove decisive. This looks a comfortable outing for the visitors.
Match info
Tournaments:
National League(Regular Season - 14)
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Gateshead International Stadium, Gateshead
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Gateshead
D
D
L
L
L
Tamworth
L
L
W
W
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 35 |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 28 |
| 3 |  Southend | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 27 |
| 4 |  Yeovil Town | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25 |
| 5 |  Worthing | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 24 |
| 6 |  Altrincham | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 24 |
| 7 |  AFC Fylde | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23 |
| 8 |  Barrow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 |  AFC Hornchurch | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 21 |
| 10 |  FC Halifax Town | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 20 |
| 11 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20 |
| 12 |  Aldershot Town | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sutton Utd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 |
| 14 |  Carlisle | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17 |
| 15 |  Woking | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 |
| 16 |  Forest Green | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 |
| 17 |  Eastleigh | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 |
| 18 |  Tamworth | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14 |
| 19 |  Wealdstone | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 |
| 20 |  Hartlepool | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 12 |
| 21 |  Boston United | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 |
| 22 |  Scunthorpe | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 10 |
| 23 |  Solihull Moors | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 |
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Gateshead vs Tamworth - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Gateshead vs Tamworth football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
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