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Granada CF vs Valladolid Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 23-10-2026
Oct 2318:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Granada CF 1-0 Valladolid
Granada CFDrawValladolid
Over 2.5 goalsYes (56%)
Granada and Valladolid clash in Segunda División Round 11 on 23 October in what shapes as a fascinating contest between two sides heading in opposite directions. Granada sit seventh with 17 points from 10 games, while Valladolid occupy 13th place with 12 points. The hosts have the stronger league position, but recent form tells a more complex story—and that's where this match gets interesting.
Team form
Granada CF
Granada's season has been a rollercoaster. They won 3-2 away at Real Sociedad II on 4 October, but that victory masks deeper issues. Over their last five games they've scored 8 and conceded 12—a 2.4 goals-against average that's alarming for any side harbouring promotion ambitions. They lost 0-3 at Eibar, 2-3 at home to Leganes, and 2-3 at home to FC Andorra. That's three defeats in five outings. José Rojo Martín's 3-5-2 formation offers attacking intent, but the defensive vulnerabilities are real. José Arnáiz has been their bright spark with 2 goals, and they'll need him sharp.
Valladolid
Here's where it gets intriguing: Valladolid have caught fire. They hammered Albacete 5-0 at home on 12 October, and before that won 3-1 against Cordoba. Yes, they lost 2-3 to Eldense most recently, but their five-game record reads 13 scored, 7 conceded—a 2.6 goals-per-game average that's genuinely threatening. Fran Escribá's 4-1-3-2 setup is more compact defensively, and Adrian Arnuncio's 1 goal suggests they have cutting edge. Valladolid are the form team here, no question.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head favours Granada historically. They've won three of the last five meetings at home, including 4-0 in 2014 and 2-1 in 2020. Valladolid's only recent win came away in 2020 (0-3), but that was six years ago. Granada know how to handle this opponent on their own pitch—though recent defensive fragility means that historical edge counts for less than it once did.
Key factors
Three things will decide this. First, Granada's leaky defence: they're conceding 1.30 per game on the season, but 2.4 over their last five. Valladolid's attacking momentum could exploit that ruthlessly. Second, Valladolid's defensive solidity: they've tightened up considerably, conceding just 1.4 per game recently. Third, the midfield battle—Rubén Alcaraz and Gumbau for Granada versus S. Jurić and J. Ponceau for Valladolid will determine tempo and possession. Granada should control the ball; Valladolid will look to counter.
Prediction
Granada are slight favourites here. They're the higher-ranked side, they play at home, and they have a winning record against Valladolid in this venue. However, Valladolid's recent form is genuinely impressive, and Granada's defensive record over the last five games is concerning. The model suggests Granada should edge this, but it's far from a comfortable affair. Both teams have shown they can score—Granada average 1.60 per game, Valladolid 1.50—and both have defensive vulnerabilities that the other can exploit.
Back Granada to win, but don't expect a clean sheet. A narrow victory for the hosts looks most likely, though Valladolid's attacking threat means this could easily go either way. For first-time viewers: watch how Granada's wing-backs handle Valladolid's counters, and whether Valladolid can maintain their recent scoring form away from home. This is a proper Segunda División battle—competitive, open, and full of attacking intent from both sides.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Granada CF
W
W
W
L
L
Valladolid
L
W
D
W
D
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 24 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 23 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 |
| 4 |  Sporting Gijon | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 |  Girona | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 |  Granada CF | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 |
| 11 |  Eldense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Tenerife | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 13 |  Valladolid | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 14 |  Celta de Vigo II | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 15 |  Cordoba | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
| 16 |  Las Palmas | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 |
| 17 |  Leganes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 |
| 18 |  FC Andorra | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 |
| 19 |  Real Sociedad II | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 21 |  AD Ceuta FC | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 |
| 22 |  Albacete | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
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Granada CF vs Valladolid - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Granada CF vs Valladolid football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.