Not Started
Torino vs Monza Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 23-10-2026
Oct 2318:45
Match Prediction
Expected score: Torino 2-1 Monza
TorinoDrawMonza
Over 2.5 goalsYes (59%)
Both teams to scoreYes (60%)
Torino host Monza at the Stadio Olimpico di Torino in Serie A's eighth round, with the home side looking to build on recent momentum. The hosts sit tenth with 10 points from seven games, while Monza occupy fourteenth with 7 points. This matchup pits a team riding a two-game winning streak against visitors who've shown explosive attacking potential but defensive fragility.
Team form
Torino
Torino have clicked into gear lately. They won 3-0 away at Parma on 2026-10-19, then beat Udinese 2-1 at home on 2026-10-12. Over their last five games they've scored 8 and conceded 5, averaging 1.6 goals for and 1.0 against — a marked improvement on their season average of 1.43 scored and 1.29 conceded. The 3-4-1-2 shape under Ignazio Abate has provided structure, with Simeone and Adams leading the line effectively.
Monza
Monza delivered a statement performance at home against Cagliari on 2026-10-19, winning 4-0 and showcasing their attacking reach. Yet inconsistency haunts them: they lost 1-3 away at Lazio just a week earlier. Across five games they've scored 10 but conceded 8, revealing a defensive pattern that mirrors their season average of 1.86 scored and 2.14 conceded. Under Juric's 3-4-2-1, Gustavo Varela has been prolific, but the backline remains vulnerable.
Head-to-head
Torino hold a clear edge in recent history. They've won three of the last five meetings, most recently taking a 2-0 away victory in March 2025. The two draws came in 2023. Monza have not beaten Torino in this sequence, a psychological factor that favours the hosts.
Key factors
Torino's defensive solidity in recent weeks contrasts sharply with Monza's leaky backline. The hosts' possession and control (49% in their last match, 1.37 xG) should allow them to dictate tempo. Monza generated 2.08 xG against Cagliari but face a sterner test here. Torino's attacking threat has sharpened; Simeone scored twice against Parma. Monza's attacking flair—Varela's 2 goals and 1 assist in their last outing—poses a genuine counter-threat, but they'll need to stay compact. Both sides have injury concerns: Torino are without Israel and Pellegri.
Prediction
The data favours Torino as a slight favourite. They've won two straight, control possession effectively, and have a superior head-to-head record. Monza's recent 4-0 win masks underlying defensive issues that Torino's improving attack should exploit. The bookmakers price the home win at 2.11, reflecting a 47% implied probability—close to our model's assessment. Expect Torino to dominate possession and create the clearer chances, though Monza's attacking quality means both sides are likely to score.
Torino are marginally more likely to take this one. A home win is the most probable outcome, supported by their form trajectory, defensive improvement, and head-to-head advantage. Monza will test them on the counter, but the hosts should have enough control to edge it. A fairly open game with both teams likely to find the net.
Match info
Tournaments:
Serie A(Regular Season - 8)
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Stadio Olimpico di Torino, Turin
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Torino
W
D
L
W
L
Monza
W
L
D
L
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 |
| 4 |  AC Milan | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 5 |  Como | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 |  Cagliari | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 |  Juventus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Napoli | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 |  Torino | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| 13 |  Sassuolo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Monza | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
| 15 |  Bologna | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| 16 |  Udinese | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 17 |  Genoa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 19 |  Parma | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 |
Other Football matches
Torino vs Monza - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Torino vs Monza football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.