Cagliari vs Bologna Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 24-10-2026

Oct 2413:00
Cagliari

Not Started

Bologna
Match Prediction

Expected score: Cagliari 0-0 Bologna

32%
32%
36%
CagliariDrawBologna
Over 2.5 goalsNo (30%)
Both teams to scoreNo (38%)

Cagliari host Bologna in Serie A's eighth round at the Unipol Domus, and this one has all the hallmarks of a tight, cagey affair. The hosts sit seventh on 13 points after a bruising 4-0 loss to Monza last time out, while Bologna languish in 15th with just 5 points from seven games. On paper, Cagliari should be favourites, but Bologna's defensive vulnerabilities and Cagliari's recent stumble make this a genuine coin-flip.

Team form

Cagliari

Cagliari have been inconsistent. They won three of their first four league games, then drew 1-1 with Juventus before getting hammered 4-0 at Monza. That defeat is the kind that stings — they managed only 5 shots on goal and 1.92 expected goals, so they were outclassed. Over their last five, they've scored 5 and conceded 6, averaging 1.0 goals for and 1.2 against. The concern here is mental recovery; a drubbing like that can linger.

Bologna

Bologna are in genuine trouble. One win in seven games tells you everything. They lost 3-1 at home to Inter and 1-0 away at Napoli, though they did beat Lecce 2-1 and drew twice. Their defensive record is alarming — 10 goals conceded in seven matches, averaging 1.43 per game. In their last outing against Inter, they had just 35% possession and 0.98 expected goals. They're fragile at the back and lack the attacking punch to compensate.

Head-to-head

Bologna have a strong historical edge. In the last five meetings, they've won three and drawn once, with Cagliari never winning. The most recent clash was a 2-0 Bologna victory at home in 2019. That said, head-to-head records can mislead — form and current personnel matter more, and Bologna's present crisis is real.

Key factors

Cagliari's midfield, anchored by H. Winks and A. Romano, should control possession at home. D. Maldini has been their creative spark. However, Cagliari are without Riyad Idrissi through injury, which limits their attacking options. Bologna's T. Pobega scored in his last outing and offers some threat on the counter, but their backline — M. Darmian, N. Casale, A. Theate — is porous. Both sides average 0.86 goals scored per game this season, so neither is prolific. The real battle will be in midfield; if Cagliari press high, Bologna's lack of possession security could hurt them.

Prediction

This is genuinely too tight to separate. Cagliari are the home side with better league position and recent results before the Monza collapse, but that 4-0 loss raises questions about their mental state. Bologna are struggling badly, yet they've shown they can nick results — they beat Lecce and drew with Torino and Sassuolo. The bookmakers price this as a near-dead-heat: 32% home, 33% draw, 41% away. Expected goals favour neither side — both around 0.9-1.0. The likeliest scorelines cluster around low-scoring draws and narrow wins. Cagliari's home advantage and superior league position edge this as a slight lean, but it's marginal.

Back Bologna to win. Yes, they're in freefall, but Cagliari's Monza hangover and the away side's nothing-to-lose mentality create an opening. Bologna have shown they can steal points on the road. This is a match where the underdog's desperation could pay off, and at the odds available, there's value in taking the lean away from home.

Match info

Tournaments:

Serie A(Regular Season - 8)

Referee:

Kevin Bonacina

Stadium

Unipol Domus, Cagliari

Statistics

Odds Comparison

Recent Form

Cagliari
L
D
W
W
W
Bologna
L
W
D
L
D

Injuries & Suspensions

Lineups

Standings

#TeamMPWDLGFGAGDPTS
1
Inter
76102191219
2
Lazio
76101441019
3
AS Roma
75201631317
4
AC Milan
7430147715
5
Como
7421127514
6
Frosinone
7412139413
7
Cagliari
741267-113
8
Juventus
732298111
9
Napoli
7313107310
10
Torino
7313109110
11
Atalanta
73041011-19
12
Lecce
7304912-39
13
Sassuolo
72231214-28
14
Monza
72141315-27
15
Bologna
7124610-45
16
Udinese
7115916-74
17
Genoa
7115513-84
18
Fiorentina
7115817-94
19
Parma
7115413-94
20
Venezia
7106616-103
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