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Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 24-10-2026
Oct 2422:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Chapecoense-sc 1-2 Fluminense
Chapecoense-scDrawFluminense
Over 2.5 goalsYes (60%)
Both teams to scoreYes (60%)
Chapecoense-sc host Fluminense at Arena Condá in Serie A's 32nd round. The hosts sit 20th with 18 points from 30 games, while Fluminense occupy 5th with 51 points from 31 matches. This is a meeting between a struggling side fighting relegation and a team firmly in the title conversation.
Team form
Chapecoense-sc
Chapecoense-sc's recent record is deeply concerning. Over their last five games, they have scored just 1 goal while conceding 9, losing three and drawing two. The 0-2 defeat at Bahia on 2026-07-17 was typical of their plight: they managed only 35% possession, 2 shots on goal, and an expected goals figure of 0.41. Their season average of 1.00 goals scored and 2.07 conceded per game underscores a team struggling at both ends. Coach Lacerda Rafael's 4-2-3-1 setup has offered little defensive stability.
Fluminense
Fluminense present a stark contrast. In their last five outings, they scored 10 goals and conceded 7, winning three and drawing one. Their only defeat came 2-3 at Vasco da Gama. Against Coritiba on 2026-04-04, they controlled the match with 67% possession, 4 shots on goal, and 1.37 expected goals, though they drew 1-1. Their season average of 1.58 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game reflects a well-balanced attacking and defensive unit. Francisco Zubeldia Luis's side are among the league's most consistent performers.
Head-to-head
The historical record between these teams is mixed. Fluminense won 2-1 away in 2018, but Chapecoense-sc have taken victories at home: 2-0 in 2017 and 2-1 in 2015. Two of the five meetings ended in draws. While Chapecoense-sc have shown they can trouble Fluminense at home, their current form makes that historical advantage largely irrelevant.
Key factors
Fluminense's superior league position and recent form give them a clear edge. They average significantly more goals scored and fewer conceded than their hosts. Chapecoense-sc's defensive fragility—conceding 2.07 per game—will be tested by Fluminense's attacking players, particularly Soteldo and Ganso. For the hosts to threaten, they must tighten their backline and capitalize on set pieces; their midfield will need to disrupt Fluminense's rhythm. Possession is likely to favour the visitors, who typically control matches.
Prediction
Fluminense are the favourite. They hold a substantial advantage in league position, goal difference, and recent form. Chapecoense-sc's defensive record and goal-scoring drought make them vulnerable to a visiting side in such strong form. While the hosts can score—they drew 1-1 at home against Vitoria and 0-0 against Corinthians—Fluminense's consistency suggests they will create the clearer chances. A fairly open game is likely, with both sides capable of finding the net.
Back Fluminense to win. Their superiority across the key metrics—league standing, recent output, and defensive solidity—makes them the more likely winner. For fantasy purposes, Fluminense's attacking midfielders and forwards offer the best value, while Chapecoense-sc's attacking players carry significant risk given their team's struggles.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Chapecoense-sc
L
L
L
D
D
Fluminense
D
L
L
L
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 67 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 66 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 53 |
| 4 |  Cruzeiro | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 51 |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 51 |
| 6 |  Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 50 |
| 7 |  Bahia | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 49 |
| 8 |  Santos | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 45 |
| 9 |  Sao Paulo | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 42 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 41 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vitoria | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 37 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36 |
| 15 |  Vasco DA Gama | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 33 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 26 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 18 |
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Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.