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Expected score: FC Augsburg 2-1 Union Berlin
FC Augsburg host Union Berlin in Bundesliga matchday 7 at the WWK Arena. The hosts sit tenth with 8 points from six games, while Union Berlin occupy 17th with just 5 points. This is a clash between a side finding some rhythm and one struggling badly at the wrong end of the table.
Team form
FC Augsburg
Augsburg's recent record reads mixed but competitive. They drew 2-2 with Bayern München at home, a solid result, but were undone 3-4 away at SV Elversberg last time out. Over their last five games they have scored 13 and conceded 12, averaging 2.6 goals for and 2.4 against. The season average of 2.67 scored and 2.00 conceded shows they are a side capable of creating chances and defending with reasonable discipline. Their 3-4-2-1 shape under M. Baum is set up to generate attacking width, and they held 60% possession in their most recent outing.
Union Berlin
Union Berlin are in genuine trouble. They have won just one of six league games and have scored only 5 goals across the entire campaign—a season average of just 0.83 per game. Their defensive record is alarming: 17 goals conceded in six matches, averaging 2.83 per game. The last fixture they played, a draw with Eintracht Frankfurt on 29 August, is now nearly two months old, making it hard to gauge current sharpness. That match saw them manage 49% possession and 1.84 expected goals, suggesting they are not creating sufficient quality even when they do get the ball.
Head-to-head
Augsburg hold a commanding head-to-head advantage. In the last five meetings, they have won three, drawn once, and lost once. They won 1-0 at home in May 2023 and 2-0 at home in February 2022. Union Berlin's sole recent victory came away in January 2023. The pattern is clear: Augsburg are the stronger side in this fixture and have been especially dominant on their own ground.
Key factors
Augsburg's attacking threat is the decisive factor. They average over 2.5 goals per game this season and have the midfield creativity to trouble Union's fragile defence. Hennes Behrens (rating 7.7) and F. Rieder (7.36) offer quality in the middle third. Union Berlin's inability to score—averaging under one goal per game—is crippling. Even if they defend reasonably well, they lack the offensive punch to trouble Augsburg's back line. The hosts' 3-4-2-1 formation gives them numerical advantage in midfield, where Union Berlin's 4-1-3-2 can be overrun. Union's defensive record of 2.83 conceded per game suggests they will struggle to contain Augsburg's width and creativity.
Prediction
The gap in quality and form is substantial. Augsburg are scoring regularly and defending acceptably; Union Berlin are doing neither. The hosts' home advantage at the WWK Arena, combined with their superior recent record and head-to-head dominance, makes them clear favourites. Union Berlin's attacking poverty means they are unlikely to trouble Augsburg enough to earn a result. The bookmakers price the over 2.5 goals market at 1.53, reflecting the likelihood of an open game where Augsburg's superior firepower breaks through.
Augsburg should win this comfortably. They have the attacking quality to breach Union Berlin's weak defence and the midfield control to dictate terms. Union Berlin's goal-scoring drought and defensive fragility make them vulnerable. Expect the hosts to dominate possession and create the clearer chances. A home win is the strong favourite outcome.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | |
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | |
| 8 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | |
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
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FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.