Not Started
Santos vs Bahia Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 25-10-2026
Oct 2500:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Santos 2-1 Bahia
SantosDrawBahia
Over 2.5 goalsYes (61%)
Both teams to scoreYes (62%)
Santos host Bahia at Estadio Urbano Caldeira in Serie A Round 32, with both sides separated by just four points in the standings. Santos sit eighth on 45 points, while Bahia occupy seventh with 49. The hosts have averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.48 conceded per game this season, while Bahia have been slightly more efficient: 1.42 scored and 1.26 conceded. This fixture carries real importance in the mid-table battle.
Team form
Santos
Santos have won once in their last five games, drawing twice and losing twice. They beat Remo 2-0 at home but then fell to Flamengo 1-3 away in their most recent outing. Over those five matches they scored 5 and conceded 6, averaging 1.0 goals for and 1.2 against—below their seasonal norm. The recent loss to Flamengo exposed defensive vulnerabilities, though the home win over Remo showed they can be clinical when opportunities arrive.
Bahia
Bahia have been more prolific lately, scoring 9 goals across their last five games while conceding just 6. They won their most recent match 2-0 at home against Chapecoense-sc and have taken three wins from five overall. That said, they suffered a heavy 1-4 defeat away at Remo in late March, suggesting inconsistency on the road. Their defensive record remains solid, but the attacking output has been their strength in this run.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record is mixed. Santos won 1-0 away in 2019 and 2-0 away in 2014, but Bahia won 1-0 at home in 2018 and 3-1 at home in 2017. There was also a goalless draw in 2013. Bahia have enjoyed more success in recent meetings when playing at home, though Santos have shown they can win on Bahia's ground.
Key factors
Santos operate in a 4-1-4-1 shape with Gustavo Henrique Pereira anchoring midfield and Lautaro Díaz leading the line. Bahia deploy a 4-3-3 with Nicolás Acevedo and Rodrigo Nestor in the engine room. The key matchup will be Bahia's midfield control against Santos' compact defensive setup. Bahia's possession dominance—they held 65% in their last outing—could be crucial, but Santos' counter-attacking threat via Díaz cannot be ignored. Home advantage and the Estadio Urbano Caldeira atmosphere favour the hosts, yet Bahia's recent form and superior goal-scoring return in this five-game stretch give them genuine attacking threat.
Prediction
Santos hold a slight favourite status here. They are at home, where they have won their last league match, and the bookmakers price them at 1.96. Bahia arrive in better recent form and with a superior goal-scoring record over the last five games, but their away record shows cracks. The match looks likely to be competitive and fairly open; both sides should create chances. Bahia's attacking prowess and Santos' home platform suggest a game with goals at both ends is plausible.
Back Santos for the win. They have the home advantage and a narrow edge in the betting odds, and while Bahia will test them, the hosts' defensive shape and counter-attacking outlet should prove decisive. Expect a close contest with chances for both teams.
Match info
Tournaments:
Serie A(Regular Season - 32)
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Estadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Santos
W
L
D
W
W
Bahia
L
W
L
L
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 67 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 66 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 53 |
| 4 |  Cruzeiro | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 51 |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 51 |
| 6 |  Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 50 |
| 7 |  Bahia | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 49 |
| 8 |  Santos | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 45 |
| 9 |  Sao Paulo | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 42 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 41 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vitoria | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 37 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36 |
| 15 |  Vasco DA Gama | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 33 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 26 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 18 |
Other Football matches
Santos vs Bahia - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Santos vs Bahia football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.