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Alaves vs Villarreal Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 28-08-2026
Aug 2819:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Alaves 0-1 Villarreal
AlavesDrawVillarreal
Over 2.5 goalsYes (52%)
Both teams to scoreYes (55%)
In this La Liga matchup, Alaves will host Villarreal at Estadio Mendizorrotza on August 28, 2026. Alaves currently sits in third place while Villarreal is in ninth, setting the stage for an intriguing contest between two teams eager to secure vital points early in the season.
Team form
Alaves
Alaves comes into this match with a strong start to the season, having picked up 4 points from 2 games, including a notable win over Getafe (3-0) and a draw against Rayo Vallecano (1-1). Their offense has shown effectiveness, averaging 1.8 goals per game, while their defense has been solid, conceding only 0.4 goals per match. Their recent form demonstrates an upward trajectory, suggesting a confident home side ready to take on challenges.
Villarreal
On the other side, Villarreal has managed just 2 points from 2 matches but demonstrated a level of resilience in their performances, drawing 2-2 against Atletico Madrid and Racing Santander. They have averaged 1.6 goals scored while conceding 1.6, indicating that their defensive frailties could be exposed. Although their recent form has shown promise, the need for a first win this season adds to the urgency of the fixture.
Head-to-head
Historically, Villarreal has had the upper hand in recent meetings with Alaves, winning 3 out of their last 5 encounters. Although Alaves triumphed in two of those, the patterns of previous seasons reflect Villarreal's tactical advantages, pushing them forward based on past performances. Their recent record suggests they may relish facing Alaves again this time around.
Key factors
The match could significantly hinge on two main tactical elements — Alaves' defensive organization and counter-attacking ability against Villarreal's midfield play and forward movement. Alaves tends to stick with a robust 5-3-2 formation which facilitates their solid defensive framework. Meanwhile, Villarreal's 4-4-2 setup allows for width and should leverage their attacking talents effectively. Key players might emerge in transitions through both teams, orchestrating the types of goal-scoring opportunities produced.
Prediction
Taking into account Alaves's sturdy home form and Villarreal's struggle for cohesion after two draws, it appears Villarreal has the slight edge based on pre-game analysis. The predicted goals suggest a close encounter with Villarreal being expected to find a way past Alaves on their ground. The analytics reflect that despite both teams scoring abilities, the away side should capitalize on their opportunities effectively based on historical meeting strength and overall squad depth.
In conclusion, Villarreal is positioned as the anticipated winner in this matchup, likely despite Alaves's promising start to the campaign. As the tactical battle unfolds, watch for significant impacts from key players on both sides that may ultimately decide the match.
Match info
Tournaments:
La Liga(Regular Season - 3)
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Alaves
D
W
D
W
W
Villarreal
D
D
W
W
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sevilla | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 |  Real Betis | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 |  Alaves | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 |  Barcelona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 |  Espanyol | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 |  Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 |  Getafe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 |  Osasuna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 |  Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 |  Racing Santander | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 |  Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 |  Valencia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 |  Malaga | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 17 |  Levante | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 18 |  Elche | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 19 |  Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 |  Athletic Club | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
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Alaves vs Villarreal - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Alaves vs Villarreal football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.