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Derby vs Swansea Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 29-08-2026
Aug 2911:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Derby 0-1 Swansea
DerbyDrawSwansea
Over 2.5 goalsNo (41%)
Both teams to scoreNo (47%)
As Derby prepares to host Swansea at Pride Park, both teams will be looking for crucial points early in the Championship season. With only two matches played so far, the stakes are high, and both sides will aim to build momentum in this encounter.
Team form
Derby
Derby are currently positioned at 16th in the league standings, having accumulated just 1 point from their opening two games. They drew their most recent match 2-2 against Cardiff, fighting back after having initially been behind. Prior results reveal a tough start to the season for Derby, with their attack averaging 1.0 goal per game, while they have conceded an alarming average of 1.6 goals. Head coach John Eustace employs a 4-2-3-1 formation, featuring players like Carlton Morris and Bobby Clark, who could be crucial in trying to elevate the team’s performance.
Swansea
Swansea sits in 9th place with 4 points, making a positive start to the campaign with 1 win and 1 draw. Their latest match ended in a goalless draw against Sheffield United, but prior to that, they secured a solid 2-1 away victory against Stoke City. With an average of 1.0 on target per game in the most recent fixtures, Swansea's attacking landscape will be key as they look to convert more chances. Coach Vitor Emanuel Soares Matos adopts the same 4-2-3-1 system as Derby, relying on a squad that includes players like Adam Idah, whose strike rate will be vital for gaining an edge in this match.
Head-to-head
Historically, there are no recorded head-to-head encounters between these two sides for the specified period, making this clash unpredictable in terms of past performances influencing the outcome.
Key factors
Derby's frailty in defense has become evident, having conceded 4 goals in their last 2 matches. Conversely, Swansea has shown durability, allowing just 1 goal from 2 games. Possession will be instrumental; Derby managed only 44% possession against Cardiff, while Swansea commanded 67% in their contest. This expected disparity should play a significant role in the match dynamics—how Derby’s formation neutralizes Swansea's passing will be pivotal, especially in transitioning swiftly from defense to attack.
Prediction
Given current form, Swansea may hold the upper hand. Derby’s fragile backline versus a Swansea side which exhibits greater possession and defensive strength signals that a victory for the visitors is plausible. Despite Derby's efforts, they seem unsteady early this season as Swansea aims to leverage their tactical edge to squeeze out a vital away win.
Considering the facts and current form, an away win for Swansea appears to be the most probable outcome.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Derby
D
L
L
D
L
Swansea
D
W
L
W
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 |  West Brom | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 |  Charlton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 |  QPR | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 |  Blackburn | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 |  Watford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 |  Bolton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 |  Swansea | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 |  Middlesbrough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 |  Cardiff | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 |  Birmingham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 15 |  Sheffield Utd | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 |  Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 17 |  West Ham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 18 |  Burnley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 19 |  Bristol City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 20 |  Preston | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 |  Stoke City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 |  Lincoln | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 |  Norwich | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 |  Southampton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
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Derby vs Swansea - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Derby vs Swansea football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.