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Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 29-10-2026
Oct 2923:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Vasco DA Gama 1-2 Flamengo
Vasco DA GamaDrawFlamengo
Both teams to scoreYes (57%)
Vasco DA Gama host Flamengo at São Januário in Serie A's 33rd round, a Rio derby between teams at opposite ends of the form spectrum. Flamengo sit second on 67 points after 31 games; Vasco occupy 13th with 38 points. The visitors hold a narrow edge in the betting markets, but the underlying data suggests a competitive contest.
Team form
Vasco DA Gama
Vasco have won 2 of their last 5 league matches, drawing 2 and losing 1. They scored 10 and conceded 9 across that run, averaging 2.0 goals for and 1.8 against per game. Their season record shows 39 goals scored and 45 conceded in 31 matches, a concerning defensive vulnerability. Their last outing, a 1-2 home loss to Botafogo on 5 April, exposed their inability to close out tight games. Possession and pass accuracy have been respectable when they control the ball, but inconsistency in execution remains a recurring problem.
Flamengo
Flamengo have won 3 of their last 5 games, drawing 1 and losing 1. They scored 9 and conceded 5 across that span, averaging 1.8 goals for and 1.0 against per game. Their most recent fixture, a 2-0 home win over Mirassol on 2 September, demonstrated their attacking threat and defensive solidity. Across the season, they have scored 61 and conceded just 25—a +36 goal difference that underscores their superiority. However, their away loss to RB Bragantino (0-3 on 3 April) and a 1-1 draw at Corinthians (22 March) show they are not invulnerable on the road.
Head-to-head
The last five meetings between these sides tell a story of defensive caution. Three of the five contests ended in draws, including a 0-0 stalemate in October 2017. The most recent clash, a 4-4 draw in November 2019, was the exception—a rare high-scoring affair. Vasco won once away, 2-1 at Flamengo in September 2015. Overall, the head-to-head record suggests both sides have found it difficult to break each other down decisively, though sample sizes from different eras limit how much weight to place on historical patterns.
Key factors
Flamengo's league position and goal difference mask a vulnerability: they have conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches. Vasco, despite their league position, have shown they can score—10 goals in five games is respectable. The bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.68, reflecting genuine attacking potential on both sides. Vasco's home record and possession-based approach (63% in their last match) could create space for Flamengo's counter-attacking threats. Flamengo's midfield depth and Samuel Lino's recent form (8.3 rating) give them an edge in transitions. The over/under 2.5 goals market sits at 1.84 for over and 1.94 for under—finely balanced, suggesting a moderately open game rather than a defensive stalemate.
Prediction
Flamengo hold a narrow edge. They are superior in the league standings, have conceded fewer goals overall, and possess more reliable attacking output (1.97 per game versus Vasco's 1.26). However, Vasco's home advantage and recent form—particularly their ability to score—prevents this from being a clear-cut away win. The data suggests Flamengo are more likely to win, but Vasco will pose a genuine threat. A 1-2 scoreline favours the visitors while acknowledging Vasco's capacity to find the net.
Flamengo are slight favourites to take the three points. Back the away win with caution; the margin between the sides is narrower than the 2.04 odds suggest, and Vasco's home record warrants respect. Both teams scoring is a reasonable secondary option at 1.68, given the attacking profiles of both sides and Flamengo's recent defensive lapses.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Vasco DA Gama
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Flamengo
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Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 70 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 69 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 54 |
| 4 |  Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 54 |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 51 |
| 6 |  Atletico-MG | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 50 |
| 7 |  Bahia | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 50 |
| 8 |  Santos | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 46 |
| 9 |  Sao Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 43 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 41 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 38 |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 38 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 37 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
| 17 |  Gremio | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 34 |
| 18 |  Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 33 |
| 19 |  Remo | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 26 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 21 |
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Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.