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Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 30-10-2026
Oct 3020:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Atlético Madrid II 2-1 Alcorcon
Atlético Madrid IIDrawAlcorcon
Over 2.5 goalsYes (86%)
Both teams to scoreYes (81%)
Atlético Madrid II host Alcorcon in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 on 30 October 2026. The hosts sit 14th with 10 points from 9 games, while Alcorcon occupy 6th with 14 points. Both sides have identical season-long scoring averages of 1.89 goals per game, but Alcorcon's defence is notably tighter, conceding 1.00 per game against Atlético Madrid II's 1.67.
Team form
Atlético Madrid II
Atlético Madrid II have been inconsistent. Their last five matches show two draws and three defeats, yielding 9 goals while conceding 13 — an average of 1.8 scored and 2.6 conceded per game. Most recently they drew 1-1 at home against Real Jaén on 25 October. The 4-4 draw with Zaragoza on 11 October illustrates their defensive fragility, though it also demonstrates attacking intent. They have won only 2 of 9 league games.
Alcorcon
Alcorcon have been more stable. Over their last five outings they have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 11 goals while conceding 6 — an average of 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. A 3-3 draw at home against Ibiza on 25 October was their most recent fixture. Their 5-0 victory over Juventud Torremolinos on 3 October and 2-1 away win at Real Madrid II on 27 September show they can perform against quality opposition. Their defensive record is superior to the hosts'.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record favours Atlético Madrid II. In their last four meetings, Atlético Madrid II have won twice, drawn once and lost none. They won 2-1 at home on 26 January 2025 and 3-2 away on 14 September 2024. The most recent encounter on 7 February 2026 ended goalless.
Key factors
Alcorcon's superior defensive discipline — conceding 1.00 per game this season versus 1.67 for the hosts — is a significant advantage. However, Atlético Madrid II have the historical edge in direct meetings and will benefit from home advantage. Alcorcon's recent form is more consistent, with fewer defeats and better goal difference over their last five games. Both teams average 1.89 goals scored per game, suggesting attacking capability is evenly matched. The hosts' vulnerability at the back, evidenced by their 2.6 goals conceded per game over the last five matches, could be exploited by Alcorcon's more clinical approach.
Prediction
Atlético Madrid II hold a slight favourite status at home, supported by their superior head-to-head record and home advantage. However, Alcorcon's defensive solidity and more consistent recent form present a genuine threat. The hosts' defensive frailties mean they cannot rely on a clean sheet, and Alcorcon's ability to score — averaging 2.2 goals per game in their last five — suggests both teams are likely to find the net. The balance of evidence points narrowly to a home win, though the margin is not substantial.
Atlético Madrid II are marginal favourites to take three points, but this is a competitive fixture where both sides possess attacking threat. Expect an open contest with goals at both ends, and the outcome could easily go either way.
Match info
Tournaments:
Primera División RFEF - Group 2(Group 2 - 10)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Atlético Madrid II
D
L
D
L
L
Alcorcon
D
D
L
W
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Villarreal II | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 |
| 2 |  Zaragoza | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 |
| 3 |  Real Jaén | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 |
| 4 |  Real Murcia | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 |  FC Cartagena | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 |  Alcorcon | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 |  Gimnastic | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 |  Ibiza | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 |  Algeciras | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 10 |  Hércules | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 11 |  Huesca | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Real Madrid II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Antequera | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
| 14 |  Atlético Madrid II | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Sant Andreu | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 16 |  Rayo Majadahonda | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
| 17 |  Águilas | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 18 |  Europa Fc | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
| 19 |  Juventud Torremolinos | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 20 |  Teruel | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
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Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.