Not Started
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 31-10-2026
Oct 3114:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 VfB Stuttgart
Bayer LeverkusenDrawVfB Stuttgart
Over 2.5 goalsYes (77%)
Both teams to scoreYes (70%)
Bayer Leverkusen host VfB Stuttgart at the BayArena in Bundesliga matchday 8, with the hosts sitting fourth and Stuttgart languishing in 15th. The gap in the table reflects a season of contrasting trajectories: Leverkusen have won three of their last five, while Stuttgart have managed just one victory in the same span. This is a fixture where form and league position align neatly in favour of the home side.
Team form
Bayer Leverkusen
Leverkusen have been the more convincing proposition in recent weeks. They scored 14 goals across their last five matches while conceding just 6, a record that speaks to both attacking threat and defensive solidity. Their most recent outing saw them edge SC Freiburg 2-1 at home, though they managed only 49% possession and 1.67 expected goals—a reminder that clinical finishing has been as important as dominance. The 4-3 win at Mainz and 4-0 demolition of Union Berlin underline their capacity to impose themselves on opponents.
VfB Stuttgart
Stuttgart's struggles are harder to dress up. Two wins in seven games leaves them in the bottom half, and their defensive record—13 goals conceded in seven matches—is a particular concern. They did beat SC Paderborn 2-0 in their last outing, but that came after losses to Dortmund, Hoffenheim and a heavy 5-1 defeat at Bayern. Over their last five matches they have scored 8 goals and conceded 9, a deficit that suggests they are being picked apart more often than they are breaking down opponents. Away from home, they have little margin for error.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record is emphatically in Leverkusen's favour. In the last five meetings, Leverkusen have won four and drawn none, including three home victories by a combined 10-1 scoreline. Stuttgart's sole win came away from the BayArena in 2018. That historical pattern, combined with current form, offers little comfort to the visitors.
Key factors
Leverkusen's attacking potency under Carles Martínez has been the standout feature of their season. They average 2.29 goals per game and have scored 16 in seven matches. Stuttgart's 3-4-2-1 formation offers some defensive flexibility, but their leaky backline—averaging 1.86 conceded per game—will be tested by Leverkusen's movement and pressing. Stuttgart's midfield creativity, evident in their 2.45 expected goals against Paderborn, may struggle to translate into chances against a better-organised opponent. The bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.32, reflecting Leverkusen's vulnerability on the counter, but Stuttgart's inconsistency in front of goal makes that a risky bet.
Prediction
The model favours a Leverkusen win with conviction. The hosts are stronger in every measurable dimension: league position, recent form, head-to-head record, and defensive record. Stuttgart are fragile on the road and have conceded more than they have scored. Leverkusen should create the clearer chances and have the composure to convert them. A fairly open game is likely, with both sides capable of scoring, but the hosts are the clear architects of their own destiny here.
Back Bayer Leverkusen to win. They are the superior team in form and structure, and Stuttgart have given little evidence of being able to compete at this level away from home. For fantasy purposes, Leverkusen's attacking players offer better value than Stuttgart's, whose defensive frailties make them risky picks.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Bayer Leverkusen
L
W
W
W
W
VfB Stuttgart
L
D
L
W
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Werder Bremen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 7 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 |  SV Elversberg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 10 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| 11 |  Hamburger SV | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| 12 |  1. FC Köln | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 13 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 15 |  VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 16 |  FC Schalke 04 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 |
Other Football matches
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.