Not Started
Expected score: Bologna 1-0 Monza
Bologna host Monza in Serie A's tenth round, a fixture that pits two sides struggling for consistency against each other. The hosts occupy 13th place with 8 points from 8 games, while Monza sit 15th with 7 points. Both teams arrive with mixed recent form and defensive vulnerabilities that could shape a competitive encounter.
Team form
Bologna
Bologna have shown glimpses of quality but remain unreliable. They won 2-0 away at Cagliari last time out, a performance built on solid defensive discipline. Before that, however, they lost 1-3 at home to Inter and won only 2-1 away at Lecce. Over their last five games, they have scored 6 and conceded 6, averaging 1.2 goals in each direction. Their season average of 1.00 scored and 1.25 conceded reflects an attack that struggles to impose itself consistently, though their defensive record is marginally better than Monza's.
Monza
Monza's record is more volatile. They lost 2-3 at Torino in their most recent outing despite scoring twice, a result that underscores their defensive fragility. Their 4-0 demolition of Cagliari the previous week offered false hope; they have conceded 10 goals in their last five matches while scoring 11. Season-wide, they average 1.88 scored but 2.25 conceded, making them one of the league's leakier defences. This inconsistency—capable of heavy wins but prone to heavy defeats—defines their campaign.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record favours Bologna. In their last five meetings, Bologna have won twice (2-1 away in 2024, 2-1 away in 2022) and drawn twice (0-0 in both 2024 and 2023), while Monza have won once (1-0 away in 2023). Bologna's record at home against this opponent is particularly strong, having not lost to Monza on their own ground in recent history.
Key factors
Bologna's defensive solidity at home contrasts sharply with Monza's leaky backline. The hosts' 43% possession in their last match suggests a team comfortable defending deep and hitting on transition—a tactical approach that suits their personnel and could trouble Monza's disorganised defence. Monza's midfield has shown vulnerability; their 0.6 expected goals in their most recent game illustrates an attack that lacks penetration. Bologna's recent win at Cagliari, built on controlled defending, indicates they can execute a game plan when required. The bookmakers' assessment reflects this: home odds of 1.76 price Bologna as a slight favourite, while the both-teams-to-score market at 1.77 sits finely balanced.
Prediction
Bologna hold a narrow edge. Their superior defensive record, home advantage, and positive head-to-head history give them a marginal but genuine advantage. Monza's inability to tighten their defence—averaging 2.25 goals conceded per game—leaves them vulnerable to Bologna's organised approach. However, Monza's attacking threat (1.88 goals per game) means this is not a one-sided affair. The expected goal balance favours the hosts, but Monza retain sufficient quality to trouble them. This is a match where the favourite is not assured; both teams' defensive inconsistencies mean a draw or an away result remains plausible.
Bologna are slight favourites to win, though the margin is narrow. Their home record, defensive discipline in recent weeks, and superiority in the head-to-head suggest they should edge this encounter. However, Monza's attacking potential and Bologna's own tendency towards inconsistency mean this is far from a formality. Expect a competitive match where defensive solidity will be decisive.
Match info
Tournaments:
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | |
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | |
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | |
| 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | |
| 11 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | |
| 14 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | |
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | |
| 18 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | |
| 19 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 |
Other Football matches
Bologna vs Monza - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Bologna vs Monza football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.