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FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 31-10-2026
Oct 3114:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: FC Augsburg 2-1 SC Freiburg
FC AugsburgDrawSC Freiburg
Over 2.5 goalsYes (75%)
Both teams to scoreYes (73%)
Augsburg host Freiburg at the WWK Arena in Matchday 8 of the Bundesliga season. The hosts sit ninth with 9 points from seven games, while Freiburg occupy third place on 13 points. This is a meeting between a side fighting for consistency and one that has built genuine momentum in the early weeks.
Team form
FC Augsburg
Augsburg have been streaky. They drew 1-1 at home to Union Berlin last time out, extending a run of three draws in five matches. Over their last five games they have scored 10 and conceded 12, averaging 2.0 goals for and 2.4 against. The 2-2 draw with Bayern München and the 3-4 loss to Elversberg show they can be both competitive and vulnerable in quick succession. Their season average of 2.43 goals scored and 1.86 conceded masks an underlying fragility in defence. In their last outing they managed 69% possession with 1.91 xG but only five shots on goal — a sign of wastefulness in the final third.
SC Freiburg
Freiburg have been more reliable. They won two of their last five, including a 5-0 demolition of Borussia Mönchengladbach, but have also lost twice — most recently 1-3 to Bayern München. Over the same five-game window they scored 11 and conceded just 8, averaging 2.2 goals for and 1.6 against. Their defensive record this season is notably tighter than Augsburg's: 1.29 goals conceded per game compared to 1.86. However, their last match saw them hold only 44% possession with 0.97 xG and four shots on goal against Bayern, suggesting they may struggle to impose themselves against a side that controls the ball.
Head-to-head
Freiburg dominate the recent head-to-head record. In their last five meetings, Freiburg have won four, including victories of 5-1 and 2-0 at home. Augsburg's sole win came away in 2014. That historical pattern favours the visitors, though it carries less weight in a league where form fluctuates rapidly.
Key factors
Possession and territory will likely favour Augsburg — they averaged 69% in their last game while Freiburg managed 44%. However, Freiburg's superior defensive discipline and their ability to score from limited chances make them dangerous on the break. Augsburg's recent inconsistency and defensive leakiness are concerning; they have conceded 12 goals in five games. Freiburg's third-place position reflects a more stable underlying structure, even if their attacking output is slightly lower. The bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.42, reflecting the likelihood that Augsburg will create space but Freiburg will punish it.
Prediction
The model favours a home win, but only marginally — this is a tight contest with no clear favourite. Augsburg's possession advantage and home ground support give them an edge, but Freiburg's defensive solidity and proven ability to score efficiently in transition present a genuine threat. The balance of xG is marginal, with Augsburg slightly ahead. Both teams to score appears highly probable given Augsburg's leaky defence and Freiburg's clinical finishing. A low-scoring affair is unlikely; the over 2.5 goals market reflects the open nature of the matchup.
Back Augsburg to win, but do so cautiously. The hosts have the territorial advantage and home benefit, yet Freiburg's recent form and defensive record make them far from a safe bet. For fantasy purposes, prioritise Augsburg's attacking midfielders who will see the ball frequently, but monitor Freiburg's counter-attacking threat closely. Both teams to score is the most reliable angle here — expect an open game with chances at both ends.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
FC Augsburg
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SC Freiburg
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Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Werder Bremen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 7 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 |  SV Elversberg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 10 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| 11 |  Hamburger SV | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| 12 |  1. FC Köln | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 13 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 15 |  VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 16 |  FC Schalke 04 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 |
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FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.