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Expected score: Levante 1-2 Atletico Madrid
Levante host Atletico Madrid at the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia in La Liga's 11th round, a clash between a struggling mid-table side and the division's second-placed powerhouse. The hosts sit 14th with 10 points from 10 games, while Atletico Madrid occupy second with an impressive 25 points and a commanding goal difference of plus-12. This is a fixture that tells a clear story: the visitors arrive as favourites to extend their excellent form.
Team form
Levante
Levante have been inconsistent this season, winning just 2 of their opening 10 matches. Their recent outing saw them lose 1-2 away at Real Sociedad, though they did bounce back from that defeat with a 3-1 home win over Athletic Club the week before. Over their last five games, they have scored 1.8 goals per game but conceded 2.0, highlighting a defensive fragility that will concern them against an attack as prolific as Atletico's. Coach Luís Castro's 4-4-2 formation offers a compact shape, but the team's possession average of 38% in their most recent match suggests they will be largely reactive here.
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid are in outstanding form, winning four of their last five matches and conceding just 0.4 goals per game over that span. They dismantled Osasuna 4-0 at home and have shown clinical finishing throughout their recent run. Their 2.4 goals per game average over the last five outings, combined with their season-long record of 2.0 scored and 0.80 conceded, demonstrates a team firing on both ends of the pitch. Simeone's side dominated Espanyol 1-0 away most recently, controlling possession at 71% and creating 1.41 expected goals—a display of controlled excellence.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record is decidedly one-sided. In their last five meetings, Atletico Madrid have won every single encounter, with all five clashes taking place at their home ground. The scorelines tell the story: 3-1, 3-0, 1-0, 3-0, and 1-0. Levante have never beaten Atletico in these recent fixtures and have conceded 11 goals across those five matches. This historical context adds weight to the visitors' status as favourites.
Key factors
Atletico Madrid's defensive solidity is the standout factor—they have conceded just 8 goals in 10 league games, the best record by far between these two sides. Levante's attacking output has been modest, and they will struggle to break down a backline marshalled by players of the calibre of Hancko and Romero. Conversely, Atletico's attacking threat is multifaceted, with Lookman and David offering pace and creativity in the final third. Levante's 38% possession suggests they will cede territory, and Atletico thrive when dictating play. The visitors' recent consistency and superior quality across the pitch make this a mismatch on paper.
Prediction
Atletico Madrid are the favourite to win this match. Their second-place position, defensive excellence, and relentless recent form all point to a visiting victory. Levante's mid-table struggles and vulnerability at the back make them unlikely to trouble a side that has won every recent head-to-head. However, Levante do carry enough attacking threat to trouble Atletico on the break, and the visitors cannot afford complacency. A fairly open game is likely, with both teams capable of scoring, though Atletico should create and convert the clearer chances.
Expect Atletico Madrid to secure three points in a match where the visitors control proceedings. Levante will offer resistance but lack the consistency and defensive organisation to frustrate their opponents. The bookmakers price this as a comfortable away win, and the underlying form and quality gap supports that assessment. Atletico's pursuit of the title continues with another expected victory.
Match info
Tournaments:
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 27 | |
| 2 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 25 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 24 | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | |
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | |
| 7 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | |
| 8 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| 9 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12 | |
| 10 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | |
| 11 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | |
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | |
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | |
| 17 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | |
| 18 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| 19 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | |
| 20 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
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Levante vs Atletico Madrid - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Levante vs Atletico Madrid football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.