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Port Vale vs Rochdale Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 31-10-2026
Oct 3112:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Port Vale 1-0 Rochdale
Port ValeDrawRochdale
Over 2.5 goalsNo (43%)
Port Vale host Rochdale at Vale Park in League Two's 14th round, with the hosts seeking to climb away from the relegation zone. Vale sit 23rd on 12 points from 11 games, while Rochdale occupy 17th with 15 points from 13 matches. The visitors arrive with superior recent form and a more prolific attack, but the home side's defensive solidity in their last two outings presents a genuine obstacle.
Team form
Port Vale
Port Vale have won their last two league games, beating Chesterfield 1-0 and Grimsby 1-0 at home. Over their past five matches, they have scored 3 and conceded 3, averaging 0.6 goals per game in both directions. Their season average of 0.55 scored and 1.09 conceded reflects a side struggling to break down opponents, though recent clean sheets suggest defensive improvement under J. Brady's 3-5-2 setup. The 36% possession figure from their last outing indicates a compact, counter-attacking approach.
Rochdale
Rochdale have won three of their last five, including a 2-1 victory at Fleetwood Town and a 3-0 home win over Shrewsbury. They drew 0-0 at Walsall but suffered a heavy 1-4 loss to Gillingham. Over the five-game sample, they scored 8 and conceded 5, averaging 1.6 and 1.0 per game respectively. Their season average of 1.15 scored and 1.69 conceded reflects an attack-minded unit under Ian Watson's 4-2-3-1 formation, though defensive vulnerabilities remain evident.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record strongly favours Port Vale. In their last five meetings, Vale won three times (1-0 in 2014 and 2016, and 4-1 in 2016), drew once (2-2 in 2012), and lost once (0-1 in 2013). All three Vale victories came at home. The historical pattern suggests Vale have the measure of this opponent on their own ground.
Key factors
Vale's defensive solidity in recent weeks contrasts with their season-long fragility. Rochdale's superior goal-scoring record (1.15 per game versus 0.55) gives them an attacking edge, but they concede at a concerning rate of 1.69 per game. The bookmakers price Vale as a slight favourite at 1.71, reflecting home advantage and recent form, though the odds on under 2.5 goals (1.82) suggest expectation of a low-scoring contest. Both teams to score is finely balanced at 1.84, indicating genuine uncertainty about whether Rochdale's attack can breach Vale's improving defence.
Prediction
Vale hold a narrow edge. The combination of home advantage, recent defensive improvement, and a strong historical record against Rochdale tilts the balance toward the hosts, despite Rochdale's superior season-long attacking output. Vale's last two clean sheets suggest they can contain the visitors' threat, while Rochdale's defensive inconsistency leaves them vulnerable on the counter. The data points to a tight, low-scoring affair in which Vale's solidity proves marginally more decisive than Rochdale's attacking threat.
Port Vale are slight favourites to win. The match looks likely to be tightly contested with few goals, reflecting both sides' recent patterns and the bookmakers' lean toward under 2.5. Rochdale will test Vale's defence, but the hosts' home record, recent form, and historical advantage over this opponent suggest they should edge a close contest.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Port Vale
W
L
D
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W
Rochdale
L
D
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Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 28 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 |
| 3 |  Cheltenham | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21 |
| 5 |  York | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20 |
| 6 |  Walsall | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 |  Chesterfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 |  Exeter City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18 |
| 10 |  Shrewsbury | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 |
| 11 |  Grimsby | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17 |
| 12 |  Gillingham | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17 |
| 13 |  Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 16 |
| 14 |  Swindon Town | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 |
| 15 |  Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16 |
| 16 |  Newport County | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 |
| 17 |  Rochdale | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 |
| 18 |  Fleetwood Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 |
| 19 |  Northampton | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 |
| 20 |  Oldham | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 21 |  Colchester | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
| 23 |  Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
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Port Vale vs Rochdale - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Port Vale vs Rochdale football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.