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Sambor Tczew vs SMS Kwidzyn Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 05-11-2026
Nov 519:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Sambor Tczew 32-34 SMS Kwidzyn
Sambor TczewDrawSMS Kwidzyn
Sambor Tczew hosts SMS Kwidzyn in I Liga on 5 November in a matchup between two struggling sides. Tczew sits 14th with no wins from seven games, while Kwidzyn occupies 10th with just two victories from eight. Both teams arrive in poor form, but the visitor carries a marginal edge in recent output that may prove decisive in a tight contest.
Team form
Sambor Tczew
Sambor Tczew's campaign has been dire. They have lost all five recent matches, conceding 41.4 goals per game while managing only 24.8 in attack. The 18-27 scoreline against Morag and Czersk respectively shows they are being outgunned consistently. At home against Jeziorak and Wejherowo, they shipped 41 and 44 goals. The sole bright spot came against Wybrzeze Gdansk II, a narrow 36-38 defeat, but that remains a loss. Tczew's defensive frailty is the core problem; they lack the discipline and positioning to contain opponents.
SMS Kwidzyn
SMS Kwidzyn have also lost their last five, but the margins tell a different story. They concede 37.4 per game—better than Tczew—and score 28.2, a meaningful 3.4-goal advantage over the hosts. The 30-31 loss to Mazur Sierpc and 26-33 defeat to Olsztyn show competitive performances. Kwidzyn's attack is more potent; they have breached 30 goals twice in recent outings, suggesting they can trouble Tczew's leaky defence. Their away form at Morag (26-44) was poor, but the overall trend suggests they are the more balanced outfit.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings between these sides are on record, so there is no historical pattern to guide us. Both teams enter on equal footing in that sense.
Key factors
The decisive factor is attacking efficiency versus defensive solidity. Tczew concede 41.4 per game—a catastrophic rate that Kwidzyn's 28.2-goal average should exploit. Conversely, Kwidzyn's 37.4 goals conceded per game is still vulnerable, and Tczew's 24.8 scoring rate may struggle to capitalise. Possession and transition defence will matter; whichever side controls the tempo and limits fast breaks will likely prevail. Kwidzyn's superior recent scoring output (141 goals in five games versus Tczew's 124) suggests they are more clinical when chances arise. Home advantage for Tczew is a mitigating factor, but it has not translated into results.
Prediction
Kwidzyn enter as the favourite despite playing away. Their 28.2 goals per game and 37.4 conceded represent a more balanced profile than Tczew's 24.8 scored and 41.4 conceded. The visitor's slightly tighter defence and superior attacking potency should edge a low-quality encounter. Tczew's home record offers minimal comfort; they have lost at home to Jeziorak and Wejherowo by heavy margins. A close game is expected—both teams are fragile—but Kwidzyn's marginal superiority in recent output tips the scales in their favour.
SMS Kwidzyn are the more likely winner, though this is a speculative pick in a contest between two struggling sides. Neither team inspires confidence, but Kwidzyn's better recent scoring rate and slightly superior defensive record make them the favourite. Fantasy league players should monitor team news closely; injuries to either side's key playmakers could shift the balance. Expect a tight, low-quality affair where the margin of victory, if any, will be small.
Match info
Tournaments:
I Liga(2026)
Type
League
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Sambor Tczew
L
L
L
L
L
SMS Kwidzyn
L
L
L
L
L
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Morag | 8 | 7 | 1 | 21 |
| 2 |  Grudziadz | 7 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 3 |  Mazur Sierpc | 8 | 7 | 1 | 21 |
| 4 |  Olsztyn | 8 | 7 | 1 | 21 |
| 5 |  Jeziorak | 8 | 6 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 |  Bydgoszcz | 8 | 5 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Wejherowo | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 8 |  SMS ZPRP Plock | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 9 |  Silvant Elblag | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 10 |  SMS Kwidzyn | 8 | 2 | 6 | 6 |
| 11 |  Bartoszyce | 8 | 2 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 |  Czersk | 8 | 2 | 6 | 5 |
| 13 |  Wybrzeze Gdansk II | 8 | 1 | 7 | 3 |
| 14 |  Sambor Tczew | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| 1 |  Oborniki Slaskie | 8 | 8 | 0 | 24 |
| 2 |  Swiebodzin | 8 | 7 | 1 | 22 |
| 3 |  Ol.Grodkow | 8 | 6 | 2 | 18 |
| 4 |  Nowa Sol | 8 | 6 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 |  Zielona Gora | 8 | 6 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 |  Oborniki | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 |  Olawa | 8 | 3 | 5 | 10 |
| 8 |  Buk | 8 | 3 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 |  Real Astromal Leszno | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 10 |  SKPR Swidnica | 8 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| 11 |  Koscian | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 12 |  Wolsztyn | 8 | 2 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 |  Gryfino | 8 | 2 | 6 | 6 |
| 14 |  Orlik Brzeg | 8 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| 1 |  Anilana Lodz | 7 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 2 |  Konskie | 8 | 6 | 2 | 18 |
| 3 |  Wielun | 7 | 6 | 1 | 18 |
| 4 |  Zwolen | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15 |
| 5 |  Warszawianka | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 |  UW Warszawa | 8 | 4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 |  Trojka Ostroleka | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 |
| 8 |  Pabianice | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 |  AZS AWF Warszawa | 8 | 2 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 |  UMCS Lublin | 7 | 2 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 |  Lider Radom | 8 | 2 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 |  Nowe Piekuty | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Konin | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 |  Strzalkowo | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| 1 |  Przeworsk | 8 | 8 | 0 | 24 |
| 2 |  Palac Tarnow | 8 | 7 | 1 | 21 |
| 3 |  Viret Zawiercie | 7 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 |  Olimpia Piekary | 7 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 5 |  Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 8 | 4 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 |  Wybicki Kielce | 8 | 4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 |  Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 |  SMS Kielce II | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Zawadzkie | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 10 |  Chrzanow | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 |  Komprachcice | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 |  Ruda Slaska | 8 | 1 | 7 | 3 |
| 13 |  Zabrze II | 8 | 1 | 7 | 3 |
| 14 |  Gwardia Opole II | 8 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
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