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Agrykola Warszawa W vs UMCS Lublin W Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 07-11-2026
Nov 713:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Agrykola Warszawa W 30-25 UMCS Lublin W
Agrykola Warszawa WDrawUMCS Lublin W
Agrykola Warszawa W host UMCS Lublin W in I Liga Women on 7 November, a matchup that looks heavily tilted on paper. The hosts sit second in the standings with a perfect 4-0 record, while Lublin prop up the table at seventh with just one win from four. The gap between them is real, though Lublin's recent form suggests they can at least compete in stretches.
Team form
Agrykola Warszawa W
Agrykola have been ruthless. Four wins from four, averaging 30 goals per game over their last three outings while conceding 24. That 33-29 victory over Lodz on 29 October showed they can grind out tight contests when needed, but they've also dismantled weaker opposition — 32-26 away at Uniwersytet Warszawski and 25-17 at home to AZS AWF Warszawa. The consistency is striking: they haven't dropped a single point.
UMCS Lublin W
Lublin's record is a mess. One win, three losses across their last four games, and that win came against Bialystok (34-26) — hardly a statement performance. The losses tell a grimmer story: 27-28 to Uniwersytet Warszawski, 25-35 to AZS AWF Warszawa, and 23-26 to Rzeszow. They're leaking 28.8 goals per game on average. The one bright spot is they're scoring 27.3 per game, so they're not entirely toothless, but the defence is a liability.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings between these sides in the available record.
Key factors
The gulf in form is the dominant factor here. Agrykola's attack is firing on all cylinders and their defence is disciplined; Lublin's defence is porous and their attack, while functional, hasn't been enough to compensate. Agrykola's second-place finish reflects genuine quality, not luck — they've beaten everyone they've faced. Lublin's seventh-place slot is where they belong given how they've played. The question isn't whether Agrykola will win, but by how much. Lublin's only realistic path is to stay compact, hope for a hot shooting night, and catch Agrykola on an off day — unlikely given the hosts' track record.
Prediction
The model favours a home win decisively, and the underlying data backs that call. Agrykola average 30 goals per game; Lublin concede 28.8. Lublin average 27.3 goals; Agrykola concede 24. On both sides of the ball, the hosts have the edge. The model expects Agrykola to edge this around 30-25, a scoreline that reflects Lublin's ability to stay in the fight without threatening an upset. A draw is a statistical afterthought at just 4% probability.
Back Agrykola Warszawa W. They're a clear favourite here — not unbeatable, but strong enough that the odds should favour them substantially. Lublin will need a near-perfect performance and Agrykola to have an off night, neither of which looks likely given recent form. The hosts should win, though punters chasing value might explore whether the margin could exceed the predicted 30-25 scoreline.
Match info
Tournaments:
I Liga Women(2026)
Type
League
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Agrykola Warszawa W
W
W
W
UMCS Lublin W
L
W
L
L
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bukowsko Dopiewski W | 5 | 4 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 |  Zielona Gora W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 3 |  Truso Elblag W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 4 |  SMS ZPRP Plock II W | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Koszalin W | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 |  KS Poznan W | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 |  ZPRP Kalisz W | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 |  Gniezno II W | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 |  Wabrzezno W | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 1 |  Zgoda Ruda Slaska W | 6 | 6 | 0 | 18 |
| 2 |  Ruch Chorzow II W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 3 |  Swiebodzice W | 5 | 4 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 |  Krapkowice W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 |  Zabrze W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 |  Pietrowice Wielkie W | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 |  Kobierzyce II W | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 |  Grunwald Ruda Slaska W | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 |  Jelenia Gora W | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 10 |  Kepno W | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 |  Slask Wroclaw W | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 |  Zaglebie Lubin W | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| 1 |  JKS Jaroslaw W | 5 | 5 | 0 | 15 |
| 2 |  Agrykola Warszawa W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 3 |  Rzeszow W | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 |  SMS ZPRP Lublin W | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 |  Uniwersytet Warszawski W | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 6 |  AZS AWF Warszawa W | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 7 |  UMCS Lublin W | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 |  Lodz W | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 |  Bialystok W | 5 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
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