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St. Raphael vs Nimes Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 10-11-2026
Nov 1019:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: St. Raphael 32-34 Nimes
St. RaphaelDrawNimes
St. Raphael hosts Nimes in the Coupe de France on 10 November 2026, a knockout tie that pits a struggling home side against visitors who have found their rhythm in recent weeks. The match offers little margin for error; one slip decides progression. St. Raphael's recent record raises immediate concerns, while Nimes arrive with momentum that extends beyond this competition.
Team form
St. Raphael
St. Raphael have won only one of their last five matches across all competitions. That victory came at home against Cesson Rennes-Metropole (37-34 in Starligue), but it sits amid four defeats. The pattern is troubling: they lost to Toulouse (31-35), Hammarby (26-34), Elverum (32-36), and Caen (30-33). Over these five games, St. Raphael averaged 31.2 goals scored but conceded 34.4 per game—a deficit of 3.2 goals per outing. Their defence has been particularly leaky in European competition, where Hammarby and Elverum both exploited them for 34 and 36 goals respectively. At home, they offer some stability, but the attacking output remains inconsistent.
Nimes
Nimes present a starkly different picture. They have won four of their last five matches, with their sole loss coming away at Limoges (31-35). Victories over Chartres (33-32), Tremblay (36-34), Provence Aix (35-33), and a dominant Coupe de France win against Sarrebourg (45-23) demonstrate both competitive edge and the capacity to dominate. Over five games, Nimes averaged 36.0 goals scored against 31.4 conceded—a positive differential of 4.6 per game. Their attack is fluid and efficient; their defence is tighter than St. Raphael's. The Sarrebourg result, in particular, suggests they can impose their game on opponents in this cup competition.
Head-to-head
No head-to-head record exists between these sides in the available data, so direct history offers no insight. This encounter is effectively a fresh contest, decided by current form and tactical execution alone.
Key factors
The gulf in recent form is the dominant factor. Nimes score more, concede less, and have won four of five; St. Raphael have won one of five and leak goals at an alarming rate. Nimes' average of 36.0 goals per game significantly exceeds St. Raphael's 31.2. Defensively, St. Raphael's 34.4 conceded per game is 3.0 higher than Nimes' 31.4. In a knockout tie, such margins are decisive. St. Raphael's home advantage is real but fragile—they have not demonstrated the consistency to overcome a side in Nimes' current form. Nimes' Coupe de France pedigree, shown in the Sarrebourg demolition, suggests they understand how to navigate cup football.
Prediction
The model favours Nimes as the more likely winner. St. Raphael's defensive frailty and inconsistent attack make them vulnerable to a visiting side that has both scored freely and tightened at the back. Nimes' four wins in five games, combined with their superior goal average, point to a team with momentum and structure. The predicted scoreline of 32-34 reflects a tight contest—St. Raphael will not roll over at home—but Nimes' edge in both offensive and defensive metrics gives them the advantage. A draw is statistically unlikely given the form differential.
Nimes are the favourite to progress. Their recent form, superior goal average, and proven ability to perform in cup competition outweigh St. Raphael's home advantage. The hosts must arrest their defensive decline and find attacking consistency to overturn a side that has shown neither weakness nor complacency in recent weeks. For first-time viewers, this match illustrates how form and goal differential often trump home advantage in knockout handball.
Match info
Tournaments:
Coupe de France(2026)
Type
Cup
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
St. Raphael
W
L
L
L
W
Nimes
W
W
W
L
W
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St. Raphael vs Nimes - Handball Prediction & Betting Tips
Specialized St. Raphael vs Nimes handball prediction on 365sport.tv evaluates goal-average records, home/away performance splits and defensive organization. Our model analyzes scoring efficiency, goalkeeper save percentages, wing attack success rates and home-court performance advantages for accurate market predictions.
Our handball analysis covers attack pattern effectiveness, defensive setups, goalkeeper performance in high-pressure moments and bench player contributions. Track scoring consistency, defensive transition speed and fatigue factors - compare odds from leading bookmakers for comprehensive handball betting insights on 365sport.tv.