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Guardes W vs Gran Canaria W Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 12-11-2026
Nov 1219:45
Match Prediction
Expected score: Guardes W 25-25 Gran Canaria W
Guardes WDrawGran Canaria W
Guardes and Gran Canaria meet in the Division de Honor Women on 12 November in a fixture that pits the sixth-placed hosts against seventh in the table. Guardes hold 11 points from 8 games; Gran Canaria sit on 8 points from the same number of matches. Both sides arrive having tasted recent setbacks, and the standings suggest little to separate them in quality or current form.
Team form
Guardes W
Guardes have won 5 of their 8 league matches but show inconsistency across their last five outings. They drew 21–21 at home against Beti-Onak, then suffered back-to-back defeats to Swedish side Boden in European competition, conceding 30 and 31 goals across those two games. Before that, they beat Lanzarote Zonzamas 26–24 away and Elche-Mustang 20–16 at home. Over the five-game sample, they have averaged 24.2 goals scored and 24.4 conceded per match—a narrow margin that reflects a side capable of scoring but vulnerable in defence.
Gran Canaria W
Gran Canaria's record stands at 4 wins and 4 losses from 8 games, placing them below their hosts. Their recent form shows three defeats in their last four league matches: losses to Malaga (27–30), Beti-Onak (24–27), and Elche-Mustang (26–31). They did beat Lanzarote Zonzamas 32–23 in September and won 30–19 against the same opponent in a friendly in August. Across their last five matches, Gran Canaria have averaged 27.8 goals for and 26.0 against—a stronger attacking output than Guardes, though their defensive record remains porous.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings between these two sides are recorded, so there is no head-to-head history to draw upon.
Key factors
Guardes' home advantage is a traditional asset, yet their recent defensive vulnerability—particularly the two heavy defeats to Boden—suggests they cannot rely on solidity at the back. Gran Canaria arrive as the lower-ranked side but bring a higher-scoring attack; their 27.8 goals per game average exceeds Guardes' 24.2. Conversely, Gran Canaria have conceded 26 per game, which is slightly better than Guardes' 24.4 conceded. The tactical balance hinges on whether Guardes can contain Gran Canaria's attacking threat at home, and whether Gran Canaria's leakier defence can withstand the hosts' pressure. Both teams have shown they can score freely but also ship goals readily.
Prediction
The statistical profile points to a closely matched contest. Guardes hold a marginal advantage in league position and home status, but Gran Canaria's superior attacking average and comparable defensive record create genuine uncertainty. The expected goal tallies for both sides sit at approximately 25–26 goals each, indicating a balanced game in which both teams should generate scoring opportunities. Neither side has demonstrated the consistency or defensive discipline to command this fixture. The narrow gap in recent form and the absence of prior meetings mean tactical preparation and execution on the day will likely prove decisive.
This match is too close to separate. Guardes are backed as a marginal lean by virtue of home advantage and their higher league position, but the gap between the sides is minimal. Expect a competitive, open encounter in which both teams should score and create chances. The balance of play could tip either way, and a draw remains a realistic outcome given the statistical parity on display.
Match info
Tournaments:
Division de Honor Women(2026)
Type
League
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Guardes W (Esp)
L
W
L
D
L
Gran Canaria W (Esp)
L
W
W
W
L
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bera Bera W | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
| 2 |  Malaga W | 9 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
| 3 |  Elche-Mustang W | 8 | 7 | 1 | 14 |
| 4 |  Elda Prestigia W | 8 | 6 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 |  Beti-Onak W | 8 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 |  Guardes W | 8 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Gran Canaria W | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 8 |  Sporting La Rioja W | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 |  Morvedre W | 8 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Lanzarote Zonzamas W | 8 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 11 |  BM Granollers W | 8 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 |  Porrino W | 8 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 13 |  Oviedo W | 8 | 1 | 7 | 2 |
| 14 |  Pozuelo de Calatrava W | 8 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
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