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Nantes vs St. Raphael Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 14-11-2026
Nov 1418:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Nantes 34-29 St. Raphael
NantesDrawSt. Raphael
Nantes host St. Raphael in Starligue on 14 November, a fixture that pits the second-placed side against a struggling thirteenth. The hosts arrive as heavy favourites, having won 8 of their opening 9 league matches, while St. Raphael's 3-6 record leaves them fighting to stay competitive in France's top division.
Team form
Nantes
Nantes have been the division's most consistent force. Over their last five outings, they scored 32.4 goals per game and conceded 29.2, a differential that reflects both attacking potency and defensive solidity. Their sole league defeat came against Toulouse (29-30), a tight contest that underscores their quality even in loss. Victories over Montpellier (36-31) and Provence Aix (38-28) showcase their ability to dominate, while their Champions League form—wins over Vardar 1961 and Wisla Plock—confirms they operate at a high level across competitions.
St. Raphael
St. Raphael's trajectory is sharply downward. They conceded 34.4 goals per game over their last five matches while scoring 31.2, a defensive vulnerability that has cost them dearly. Four losses in that span include heavy defeats to Hammarby (26-34) and Elverum (32-36), suggesting structural problems rather than isolated lapses. Their sole win came at home against Cesson Rennes-Metropole (37-34), a narrow margin that offers little reassurance about their ability to compete on the road against elite opposition.
Head-to-head
No head-to-head record exists between these sides in the available data.
Key factors
The gulf in league position—second versus thirteenth—translates directly to performance metrics. Nantes' eight-win record reflects superior tactical discipline and personnel; St. Raphael's defensive frailties, evident in their 34.4 goals-against average, will be tested severely by a Nantes attack averaging 32.4 goals per game. The visitors' away record is particularly concerning: they have not demonstrated the resilience needed to contain a side of Nantes' calibre on hostile ground. Nantes' consistency across both domestic and European competition suggests they maintain intensity regardless of opponent profile.
Prediction
Nantes are clear favourites on the basis of league standing, recent form differential, and defensive stability. The hosts have conceded fewer than 30 goals per game over their last five matches, while St. Raphael have exceeded 34 in the same period. St. Raphael's away record and defensive record combine to suggest they will struggle to contain Nantes' attack. The model projects a Nantes victory with a comfortable margin.
Nantes should secure a home win. The hosts' attacking consistency and defensive organisation place them well above St. Raphael's current level. For fantasy purposes, Nantes players represent strong value; St. Raphael's attacking output has been inconsistent, and their defensive vulnerabilities make them poor fantasy assets in this fixture. Back Nantes to win decisively.
Match info
Tournaments:
Starligue(2026)
Type
League
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Nantes
W
L
W
L
W
St. Raphael
W
W
L
L
L
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSG | 9 | 9 | 0 | 18 |
| 2 |  Nantes | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
| 3 |  Nimes | 9 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
| 4 |  Montpellier | 9 | 5 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 |  Tremblay | 9 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Limoges | 9 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 |  Provence Aix | 9 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 |  Caen | 9 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Toulouse | 9 | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| 10 |  Chartres | 9 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 |  Saran | 9 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 |  Selestat | 9 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 |  St. Raphael | 9 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| 14 |  Chambery Savoie | 9 | 2 | 5 | 6 |
| 15 |  Cesson Rennes-Metropole | 9 | 1 | 8 | 2 |
| 16 |  Dunkerque | 9 | 1 | 8 | 2 |
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