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Atl. Valladolid vs Horneo Alicante Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 15-11-2026
Nov 1511:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Atl. Valladolid 32-28 Horneo Alicante
Atl. ValladolidDrawHorneo Alicante
Atl. Valladolid host Horneo Alicante in Liga ASOBAL on 15 November in a match that pits a resurgent third-place side against a struggling visitor fighting to climb out of the bottom half. Valladolid sit on 13 points from eight games with a 6-1-1 record, while Alicante languish in 11th with just 6 points and a 3-0-5 tally. The gap in the standings reflects a clear disparity in form and firepower.
Team form
Atl. Valladolid
Valladolid have been the stronger outfit in Liga ASOBAL this season. Over their last five matches they have won four, including a 37-30 victory over Puerto Sagunto and a 34-26 success against Villa de Aranda. They average 31.2 goals per game across that run while conceding 28.0, a healthy attacking margin that suggests an offence capable of punishing opponents. Their only recent setback came in a friendly against Veszprem, a loss that carries less weight than their league form. At home, they have shown consistency and scoring power.
Horneo Alicante
Alicante's record tells a grimmer story. In their last five outings they have won just once—a 31-27 victory over Morrazo Cangas—and lost four times, including heavy defeats to Barcelona (31-46) and Bidasoa Irun (31-34). They average 29.4 goals for but a concerning 32.0 against, indicating a defence that leaks regularly and an attack that struggles to compensate. Their win rate of 37.5 per cent across eight games reflects a side still searching for consistency and confidence on the road.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings between these sides are on record, so there is no historical pattern to draw upon. This is a fresh encounter with no precedent to guide either team's approach.
Key factors
Valladolid's home advantage is a significant asset. They have won their last three home matches and score freely in front of their own crowd. Alicante, by contrast, have struggled away from home and will need to tighten their defence—they have conceded 32 goals per game in their recent stretch, a rate that Valladolid's attack should be able to exploit. The visitors' inability to string together wins and their defensive fragility suggest they will find it hard to contain a Valladolid side that has found rhythm. Alicante's sole recent win came against a weaker opponent, and they have not shown the quality needed to trouble a third-place team in full flow.
Prediction
The model favours a Valladolid victory, and the underlying data supports it convincingly. Valladolid are the superior team in both league position and recent form, with a proven home record and an attack that has scored consistently. Alicante's defensive vulnerabilities and lack of offensive punch make them vulnerable to a side that averages over 31 goals per game. The expected goal balance tilts clearly toward the hosts, and the probability weighting reflects Valladolid as a strong favourite.
Back Atl. Valladolid to win. They are the clear favourites here—a team in form at home against a struggling visitor whose defence cannot be relied upon. Alicante will need a marked improvement in defensive discipline and attacking efficiency to get anything from this trip, and their recent record suggests that is unlikely to materialise.
Match info
Tournaments:
Liga ASOBAL(2026)
Type
League
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Atl. Valladolid
L
D
W
W
W
Horneo Alicante
W
L
L
W
L
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 16 |
| 2 |  CD Bidasoa Irun | 8 | 8 | 0 | 16 |
| 3 |  Atl. Valladolid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
| 4 |  La Rioja | 8 | 5 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 |  Torrelavega | 8 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 |  Granollers | 8 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Caserio Ciudad Real | 8 | 3 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 |  Cuenca | 8 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 |  Proin Sevilla | 8 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Ademar | 8 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 |  Horneo Alicante | 8 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 12 |  Puerto Sagunto | 8 | 2 | 5 | 5 |
| 13 |  Villa de Aranda | 8 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 |  Puente Genil | 8 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 |  Nava | 8 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 |  Morrazo Cangas | 8 | 1 | 7 | 2 |
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